Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37774648›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical anesthesia2023

Development of a machine learning model to predict intraoperative transfusion and guide type and screen ordering.

Matthew A C Zapf, Daniel V Fabbri, Jennifer Andrews, Gen Li, Robert E Freundlich, Samer Al-Droubi, Jonathan P Wanderer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical anesthesia, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Matthew A C ZapfDepartment of Anesthesiology, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA. Electronic address: matthew.a.zapf@vumc.org.
Daniel V FabbriDepartment of Biomedical Informatics and Department of Computer Science, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA.
Jennifer AndrewsDepartment of Pathology, Microbiology and Immunology and Department of Pediatrics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA.
Gen LiDepartment of Anesthesiology, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA.
Robert E FreundlichDepartment of Anesthesiology and Department of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA.
Samer Al-DroubiHealthIT Department, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA.
Jonathan P WandererDepartment of Anesthesiology and Department of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA.

Funding

Vanderbilt Institute for Clinical and Translational Research (VICTR) -Identifying correlates of functional immunity in SARS-CoV-2 convalescent plasmaUL1TR002243 · NCATS · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI Paul A. Harris, Wesley H Self · 2017 to 2026
$130.7M
TIPS: Training in Perioperative ScienceT32GM108554 · NIGMS · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI Eric J Delpire · 2014 to 2026
$3.7M
Reducing Reintubation Risk in High-Risk Cardiac Surgery Patients with High-Flow Nasal Cannula -the "I-CAN" studyK23HL148640 · NHLBI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI FREUNDLICH, ROBERT EDWARD · 2020 to 2024
$867k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002243NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL148640NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM108554
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

STUDY

objectiveTo develop an algorithm to predict intraoperative Red Blood Cell (RBC) transfusion from preoperative variables contained in the electronic medical record of our institution, with the goal of guiding type and screen ordering.

designMachine Learning model development on retrospective single-center hospital data.

settingPreoperative period and operating room. PATIENTS: The study included patients ≥18 years old who underwent surgery during 2019-2022 and excluded those who refused transfusion, underwent emergency surgery, or surgery for organ donation after cardiac or brain death.

interventionPrediction of intraoperative transfusion vs. no intraoperative transfusion. MEASUREMENTS: The outcome variable was intraoperative transfusion of RBCs. Predictive variables were surgery, surgeon, anesthesiologist, age, sex, body mass index, race or ethnicity, preoperative hemoglobin (g/dL), partial thromboplastin time (s), platelet count x 10 MAIN

resultsOut of 100,813 cases that met study criteria from 2019 to 2021, intraoperative transfusion occurred in 5488 (5.4%) of cases. The LightGBM model was the highest performing algorithm in external temporal validity experiments, with overall accuracy of (76.1%) [95% confidence interval (CI), 75.6-76.5], while maintaining clinically relevant sensitivity of (91.2%) [95% CI, 89.8-92.5]. If type and screens were ordered based upon the LightGBM model, the predicted type and screen to transfusion ratio would improve from 8.4 to 5.1.

conclusionsMachine learning approaches are feasible in predicting intraoperative transfusion from preoperative variables and may improve preoperative type and screen ordering practices when incorporated into the electronic health record.

Indexed as

Blood TransfusionErythrocyte TransfusionAdolescentHumansMachine LearningProthrombin TimeRetrospective StudiesArtificial intelligenceMachine learningPreoperative optimizationSystems-based practiceTransfusion

Identifiers

PMID37774648
PMCPMC10623374

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.