Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37773767›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2024

Estimating Post-treatment Recurrence After Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis Treatment Among Patients With and Without Human Immunodeficiency Virus: The Impact of Assumptions About Death and Missing Follow-up.

Sara M Sauer, Carole D Mitnick, Uzma Khan, Catherine Hewison, Mathieu Bastard, David Holtzman, Stephanie Law, Munira Khan, Shrivani Padayachee, Saman Ahmed and 16 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

26 authors.

Sara M SauerDepartment of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6754-4182
Carole D MitnickDepartment of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Uzma KhanInteractive Research and Development (IRD) Global, Singapore, Singapore.
Catherine HewisonMédecins Sans Frontières, Paris, France.
Mathieu BastardEpicentre, Paris, France.
David HoltzmanPartners in Health, Maseru, Lesotho.
Stephanie LawDepartment of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Munira KhanIRD Global, Durban, South Africa.
Shrivani PadayacheeIRD Global, Durban, South Africa.
Saman AhmedIRD Global, Karachi, Pakistan.
Afshan K IsaniCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Directorate General Health Services, Sindh, Pakistan.
Aga KrisnandaIRD Global, Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stalz Charles VilbrunThe Haitian Group for the Study of Kaposi's Sarcoma and Opportunistic Infections (GHESKIO), Port-au-Prince, Haiti.
Sagit BektasovTB National TB Center, Kazakhstan.
Andargachew KumsaMinistry of Health, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Wisney DocteurZanmi Lasante, Cange, Haiti.
Karen TintayaSocios en Salud, Lima, Peru.
Mark McNicolMédecins Sans Frontières, Tbilisi, Georgia.
Hakob AtshemyanMédecins Sans Frontières, Yerevan, Armenia.
Tatiana VoyniloMédecins Sans Frontières, Minsk, Belarus.
Thin Thin ThweMédecins Sans Frontières, Yangon, Myanmar.
Kwonjune SeungPartners in Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Michael RichPartners in Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Helena HuergaEpicentre, Paris, France.
Palwasha KhanInteractive Research and Development (IRD) Global, Singapore, Singapore.
Molly FrankeDepartment of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Funding

PROGRAM FOR AIDS CLINICAL RESEARCH TRAINING (PACRT)T32AI007433 · NIAID · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI MARK J SIEDNER · 1992 to 2026
$11.4M
Strengthening evidence on optimal multidrug-resistant tuberculosis treatment regimens through improved epidemiologic methodsR01AI146095 · NIAID · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI FRANKE, MOLLY FORREST · 2020 to 2024
$3.6M
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundQuantification of recurrence risk following successful treatment is crucial to evaluating regimens for multidrug- or rifampicin-resistant (MDR/RR) tuberculosis (TB). However, such analyses are complicated when some patients die or become lost during post-treatment follow-up.

methodsWe analyzed data on 1991 patients who successfully completed a longer MDR/RR-TB regimen containing bedaquiline and/or delamanid between 2015 and 2018 in 16 countries. Using 5 approaches for handling post-treatment deaths, we estimated 6-month post-treatment TB recurrence risk overall and by HIV status. We used inverse-probability weighting to account for patients with missing follow-up and investigated the impact of potential bias from excluding these patients without applying inverse-probability weights.

resultsThe estimated TB recurrence risk was 7.4/1000 (95% credible interval: 3.3-12.8) when deaths were handled as non-recurrences and 7.6/1000 (3.3-13.0) when deaths were censored and inverse-probability weights were applied to account for the excluded deaths. The estimated risks of composite recurrence outcomes were 25.5 (15.3-38.1), 11.7 (6.4-18.2), and 8.6 (4.1-14.4) per 1000 for recurrence or (1) any death, (2) death with unknown or TB-related cause, or (3) TB-related death, respectively. Corresponding relative risks for HIV status varied in direction and magnitude. Exclusion of patients with missing follow-up without inverse-probability weighting had a small impact on estimates.

conclusionsThe estimated 6-month TB recurrence risk was low, and the association with HIV status was inconclusive due to few recurrence events. Estimation of post-treatment recurrence will be enhanced by explicit assumptions about deaths and appropriate adjustment for missing follow-up data.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsTuberculosis, Multidrug-ResistantAntitubercular AgentsFollow-Up StudiesHIVHumansTreatment OutcomeAntitubercular Agentscompeting eventsinverse-probability weightingMDR-TBmissing follow-uppost-treatment recurrence

Identifiers

PMID37773767
PMCPMC10810712

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.