Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37773252›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Costs and health benefits of the rural energy transition to carbon neutrality in China.

Teng Ma, Silu Zhang, Yilong Xiao, Xiaorui Liu, Minghao Wang, Kai Wu, Guofeng Shen, Chen Huang, Yan Ru Fang, Yang Xie

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Rethinking energy transition strategies for the European Union amid rising energy prices.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  5. Toxicity-informed control of global PMNational science review · 2026
    Article
  6. Construction activities drive half of China's ambient PMEnvironmental science and ecotechnology · 2026
    Article
  7. Trends and projections of PMFrontiers in public health · 2026
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Teng MaCollege of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.
Silu ZhangCollege of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.
Yilong XiaoCollege of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.
Xiaorui LiuCollege of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.
Minghao WangSchool of Economics and Management, Beihang University, 100191, Beijing, China.
Kai WuCollege of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.
Guofeng ShenCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7731-5399
Chen HuangCollege of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.
Yan Ru FangCollege of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China. fyr000@126.com.
Yang XieSchool of Economics and Management, Beihang University, 100191, Beijing, China. xieyangdaisy@buaa.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8864-960X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The rural energy transition is critical in China's efforts to achieve carbon neutrality and improve air quality. However, the costs and health benefits associated with the transition to carbon neutrality remain unclear. Here we explore the cost-effective transition pathways and air quality-related health impacts using an integrated energy-air quality-health modeling framework. We find that decarbonizing rural cooking and heating would triple contemporary energy consumption from 2014 to 2060, considerably reducing energy poverty nationwide. By 2060, electric cooking ranges and air-to-air heat pumps should be widely integrated, costing an additional 13 billion USD nationally in transformation costs, with ~40% concentrated in Shandong, Heilongjiang, Shanxi and Hebei provinces. Rural residential decarbonization would remarkably improve air quality in northern China, yielding substantial health co-benefits. Notably, monetized health benefits in most provinces are projected to offset transformation costs, except for certain relatively lower-development southwestern provinces, implying more financial support for rural residents in these areas will be needed.

Indexed as

Air PollutionParticulate MatterCarbonChinaPovertyCarbonParticulate Matter

Identifiers

PMID37773252
PMCPMC10541415

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.