Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37762756›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical medicine2023

Survival Prediction in Diabetic Foot Ulcers: A Machine Learning Approach.

Alina Delia Popa, Radu Sebastian Gavril, Iolanda Valentina Popa, Laura Mihalache, Andreea Gherasim, George Niță, Mariana Graur, Lidia Iuliana Arhire, Otilia Niță

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Alina Delia PopaFaculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy "Grigore T Popa", 700115 Iasi, Romania.ORCID 0000-0003-0639-0479
Radu Sebastian GavrilFaculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy "Grigore T Popa", 700115 Iasi, Romania.ORCID 0000-0002-6406-6573
Iolanda Valentina PopaFaculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy "Grigore T Popa", 700115 Iasi, Romania.ORCID 0000-0002-0597-8839
Laura MihalacheFaculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy "Grigore T Popa", 700115 Iasi, Romania.
Andreea GherasimFaculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy "Grigore T Popa", 700115 Iasi, Romania.
George NițăFaculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy "Grigore T Popa", 700115 Iasi, Romania.
Mariana GraurFaculty of Medicine and Biological Sciences, University "Ștefan cel Mare" of Suceava, 720229 Suceava, Romania.
Lidia Iuliana ArhireFaculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy "Grigore T Popa", 700115 Iasi, Romania.
Otilia NițăFaculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy "Grigore T Popa", 700115 Iasi, Romania.ORCID 0000-0003-0468-1141

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Our paper proposes the first machine learning model to predict long-term mortality in patients with diabetic foot ulcers (DFUs). The study includes 635 patients with DFUs admitted from January 2007 to December 2017, with a follow-up period extending until December 2020. Two multilayer perceptron (MLP) classifiers were developed. The first MLP model was developed to predict whether the patient will die in the next 5 years after the current hospitalization. The second MLP classifier was built to estimate whether the patient will die in the following 10 years. The 5-year and 10-year mortality models were based on the following predictors: age; the University of Texas Staging System for Diabetic Foot Ulcers score; the Wagner-Meggitt classification; the Saint Elian Wound Score System; glomerular filtration rate; topographic aspects and the depth of the lesion; and the presence of foot ischemia, cardiovascular disease, diabetic nephropathy, and hypertension. The accuracy for the 5-year and 10-year models was 0.7717 and 0.7598, respectively (for the training set) and 0.7244 and 0.7087, respectively (for the test set). Our findings indicate that it is possible to predict with good accuracy the risk of death in patients with DFUs using non-invasive and low-cost predictors.

Indexed as

diabetic foot ulcersmachine learningmortalitySaint Elian Wound Score SystemUniversity of Texas Staging SystemWagner–Meggitt classification

Identifiers

PMID37762756
PMCPMC10531505

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.