Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37760567›Full record

ArticleCancers2023

Predicting Long-Term Care Service Demands for Cancer Patients: A Machine Learning Approach.

Shuo-Chen Chien, Yu-Hung Chang, Chia-Ming Yen, Ying-Erh Chen, Chia-Chun Liu, Yu-Ping Hsiao, Ping-Yen Yang, Hong-Ming Lin, Xing-Hua Lu, I-Chien Wu and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancers, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Exploring supportive care needs of lung cancer patients in China and predicting with machine learning models.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Shuo-Chen ChienInstitute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli County 350, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0003-4507-8445
Yu-Hung ChangInstitute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli County 350, Taiwan.
Chia-Ming YenNational Center for Geriatrics and Welfare Research, National Health Research Institutes, Yunlin County 632, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0002-9774-8634
Ying-Erh ChenDepartment of Risk Management and Insurance, Tamkang University, New Taipei City 251, Taiwan.
Chia-Chun LiuInstitute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli County 350, Taiwan.
Yu-Ping HsiaoInstitute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli County 350, Taiwan.
Ping-Yen YangInstitute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli County 350, Taiwan.
Hong-Ming LinInstitute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli County 350, Taiwan.
Xing-Hua LuInstitute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli County 350, Taiwan.
I-Chien WuInstitute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli County 350, Taiwan.
Chih-Cheng HsuInstitute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli County 350, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0003-4563-4341
Hung-Yi ChiouInstitute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli County 350, Taiwan.
Ren-Hua ChungInstitute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Miaoli County 350, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0002-9835-6333

Funding

National Health Research Institutes PH-111-GP-07
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLong-term care (LTC) service demands among cancer patients are significantly understudied, leading to gaps in healthcare resource allocation and policymaking.

objectiveThis study aimed to predict LTC service demands for cancer patients and identify the crucial factors.

methods3333 cases of cancers were included. We further developed two specialized prediction models: a Unified Prediction Model (UPM) and a Category-Specific Prediction Model (CSPM). The UPM offered generalized forecasts by treating all services as identical, while the CSPM built individual predictive models for each specific service type. Sensitivity analysis was also conducted to find optimal usage cutoff points for determining the usage and non-usage cases.

resultsService usage differences in lung, liver, brain, and pancreatic cancers were significant. For the UPM, the top 20 performance model cutoff points were adopted, such as through Logistic Regression (LR), Quadratic Discriminant Analysis (QDA), and XGBoost (XGB), achieving an AUROC range of 0.707 to 0.728. The CSPM demonstrated performance with an AUROC ranging from 0.777 to 0.837 for the top five most frequently used services. The most critical predictive factors were the types of cancer, patients' age and female caregivers, and specific health needs.

conclusionThe results of our study provide valuable information for healthcare decisions, resource allocation optimization, and personalized long-term care usage for cancer patients.

Indexed as

cancer patientsdemands predictionhealthcare advancementslong-term care servicesmachine learningsensitivity analysis

Identifiers

PMID37760567
PMCPMC10526410

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.