ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2023
Analysis of the Effectiveness of Public Health Measures on COVID-19 Transmission.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- Public Telemedicine Policy in Brazilian Unified Health System: An Impact Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024Article
- The Intersection of Health Literacy and Public Health: A Machine Learning-Enhanced Bibliometric Investigation.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- An assessment of Nigeria's health systems response to COVID-19.Ghana medical journal · 2022Review
- Endemic-epidemic models to understand COVID-19 spatio-temporal evolution.Spatial statistics · 2022Article
- On the reliability of predictions on Covid-19 dynamics: A systematic and critical review of modelling techniques.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
In this study, we investigate the COVID-19 epidemics in Brazilian cities, using early-time approximations of the SIR model in networks and combining the VAR (vector autoregressive) model with machine learning techniques. Different from other works, the underlying network was constructed by inputting real-world data on local COVID-19 cases reported by Brazilian cities into a regularized VAR model. This model estimates directional COVID-19 transmission channels (connections or links between nodes) of each pair of cities (vertices or nodes) using spectral network analysis. Despite the simple epidemiological model, our predictions align well with the real COVID-19 dynamics across Brazilian municipalities, using data only up until May 2020. Given the rising number of infectious people in Brazil-a possible indicator of a second wave-these early-time approximations could be valuable in gauging the magnitude of the next contagion peak. We further examine the effect of public health policies, including social isolation and mask usage, by creating counterfactual scenarios to quantify the human impact of these public health measures in reducing peak COVID-19 cases. We discover that the effectiveness of social isolation and mask usage varies significantly across cities. We hope our study will support the development of future public health measures.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.