Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37753653›Full record

ArticleCirculation. Heart failure2023

MMP-2 Associates With Incident Heart Failure and Atrial Fibrillation: The ARIC Study.

Leo F Buckley, Ali M Agha, Pranav Dorbala, Brian L Claggett, Bing Yu, Aliza Hussain, Vijay Nambi, Lin Yee Chen, Kunihiro Matsushita, Ron C Hoogeveen and 2 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation. Heart failure, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
3.6field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

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  8. Predictors of iatrogenic atrial septal defects: analysis of fibrotic atrial cardiomyopathy, valvular disease, and transseptal sheath size.Journal of interventional cardiac electrophysiology : an international journal of arrhythmias and pacing · 2025
    Article
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  13. Animal and cellular models of atrial fibrillation: a review.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 7 institutions in 1 country.

Leo F Buckley *Department of Pharmacy Services (L.F.B.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0003-1570-1486
Ali M Agha *Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX (A.A., A.H., V.N., R.C.H., C.M.B.).
Pranav DorbalaDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine (P.D., B.L.C.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-7764-0802
Brian L ClaggettDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine (P.D., B.L.C.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-4215-9218
Bing YuDepartment of Epidemiology, Human Genetics and Environmental Sciences, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston (B.Y.).ORCID 0000-0003-4818-1077
Aliza HussainDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX (A.A., A.H., V.N., R.C.H., C.M.B.).ORCID 0000-0002-1264-8707
Vijay NambiDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX (A.A., A.H., V.N., R.C.H., C.M.B.).ORCID 0000-0002-4237-0267
Lin Yee ChenDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis (L.Y.C.).ORCID 0000-0002-0700-814X
Kunihiro MatsushitaDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD (K.M.).ORCID 0000-0002-7179-718X
Ron C HoogeveenDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX (A.A., A.H., V.N., R.C.H., C.M.B.).ORCID 0000-0003-2399-4653
Christie M BallantyneDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX (A.A., A.H., V.N., R.C.H., C.M.B.).ORCID 0000-0002-6432-1730
Amil M ShahDivision of Cardiology, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas (A.M.S.).ORCID 0000-0003-1056-4451
Baylor College of Medicine · USBrigham and Women's Hospital · USJohns Hopkins University · USMichael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center · USThe University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston · USThe University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center · USUniversity of Minnesota · US

Funding

Mapping the Progression to HFpEF in the Elderly through Longitudinal Changes in Cardiac FunctionR01HL135008 · NHLBI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI Amil M Shah · 2017 to 2026
$11.5M
Early Detection of Transthyretin Cardiac Amyloidosis: Defining a Novel Target for HFpEF Treatment and Prevention in Late LifeR01HL150342 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI DORBALA, SHARMILA, SHAH, AMIL M · 2020 to 2023
$4.1M
Quantifying cardiac structure and function to define the progression to hear failure in African AmericansR01HL143224 · NHLBI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI SHAH, AMIL M · 2018 to 2021
$3.4M
Proteomic signatures to identifypathways underlying the progression toheart failureR01HL148218 · NHLBI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI SHAH, AMIL M, YU, BING · 2020 to 2023
$3.4M
Contributions of pulmonary arterial and venous remodeling to HFpEF in the elderlyR01HL160025 · NHLBI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI SAN JOSE ESTEPAR, RAUL, SHAH, AMIL M · 2022 to 2025
$3.0M
Inflammasome Activity as a Potential Contributor to Uremic CardiomyopathyK23HL150311 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI BUCKLEY, LEO FRANCIS · 2020 to 2024
$1.1M
Mentoring patient-oriented research in deep phenotyping of cardiac function for heart failure preventionK24HL152008 · NHLBI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI SHAH, AMIL M · 2020 to 2024
$608k
NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700001CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700001INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700002CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700002INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700003CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700003INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700004CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700004INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700005CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700005INHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL150311NHLBI NIH HHS K24 HL152008NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL135008NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL143224NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL148218NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL150342NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL160025
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMMP (matrix metalloproteinase)-2 participates in extracellular matrix regulation and may be involved in heart failure (HF), atrial fibrillation (AF), and coronary heart disease.

methodsAmong the 4693 ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) participants (mean age, 75±5 years; 42% women) without prevalent HF, multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate associations of plasma MMP-2 levels with incident HF, HF with preserved ejection fraction (≥50%), HF with reduced ejection fraction (<50%), AF, and coronary heart disease. Mediation of the association between MMP-2 and HF was assessed by censoring participants who developed AF or coronary heart disease before HF. Multivariable linear regression models were used to assess associations of MMP-2 with measures of left ventricular and left atrial structure and function.

resultsCompared with the 3 lower quartiles, the highest MMP-2 quartile associated with greater risk of incident HF overall (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.48 [95% CI, 1.21-1.81]), incident HF with preserved ejection fraction (1.44 [95% CI, 1.07-1.94]), incident heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (1.48 [95% CI, 1.08-2.02]), and incident AF (1.44 [95% CI, 1.18-1.77]) but not incident coronary heart disease (0.97 [95% CI, 0.71-1.34]). Censoring AF attenuated the MMP-2 association with HF with preserved ejection fraction. Higher plasma MMP-2 levels were associated with larger left ventricular end-diastolic volume index, greater left ventricular mass index, higher E/e' ratio, larger left atrial volume index, and worse left atrial reservoir and contractile strains (all

conclusionsHigher plasma MMP-2 levels associate with diastolic dysfunction, left atrial dysfunction, and a higher risk of incident HF and AF. AF is a mediator of MMP-2-associated HF with preserved ejection fraction risk.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationCoronary DiseaseHeart FailureMatrix Metalloproteinase 2AgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMalePrognosisStroke VolumeVentricular Function, LeftMatrix Metalloproteinase 2MMP2 protein, humanatrial fibrillationechocardiographyepidemiologyheart failurematrix metalloproteinases

Identifiers

PMID37753653
PMCPMC10842537
OpenAlexW4387077135

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.