Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37752066›Full record

ArticleInfluenza and other respiratory viruses2023

Symptom prevalence and secondary attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in rural Kenyan households: A prospective cohort study.

Katherine E Gallagher, Joyce Nyiro, Charles N Agoti, Eric Maitha, James Nyagwange, Angela Karani, Christian Bottomley, Nickson Murunga, George Githinji, Martin Mutunga and 10 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Rethinking the evidence on COVID-19 in Africa.The Lancet. Infectious diseases · 2025
    Review
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Katherine E GallagherKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.ORCID 0000-0002-5604-7647
Joyce NyiroKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.
Charles N AgotiKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.
Eric MaithaMinistry of Health, Government of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya.
James NyagwangeKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.
Angela KaraniKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.
Christian BottomleyDepartment of Infectious Diseases Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Nickson MurungaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.
George GithinjiKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.
Martin MutungaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.
Lynette Isabella Ochola-OyierKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.
Ivy KombeKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.
Amek NyaguaraKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.
E Wangeci KaguciaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.ORCID 0000-0002-4481-8889
George WarimweKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.
Ambrose AgweyuKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.
Benjamin TsofaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.
Philip BejonKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.
J Anthony G ScottKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.
David James NokesKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme (KWTRP), Kilifi, Kenya.ORCID 0000-0001-5426-1984
Kenya Medical Research Institute · KEKenya School of Government · KELondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GB

Funding

NIAID NIH HHS HHSN272201400008CWellcome TrustWellcome Trust 220985
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe estimated the secondary attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 among household contacts of PCR-confirmed cases of COVID-19 in rural Kenya and analysed risk factors for transmission.

methodsWe enrolled incident PCR-confirmed cases and their household members. At baseline, a questionnaire, a blood sample, and naso-oropharyngeal swabs were collected. Household members were followed 4, 7, 10, 14, 21 and 28 days after the date of the first PCR-positive in the household; naso-oropharyngeal swabs were collected at each visit and used to define secondary cases. Blood samples were collected every 1-2 weeks. Symptoms were collected in a daily symptom diary. We used binomial regression to estimate secondary attack rates and survival analysis to analyse risk factors for transmission.

resultsA total of 119 households with at least one positive household member were enrolled between October 2020 and September 2022, comprising 503 household members; 226 remained in follow-up at day 14 (45%). A total of 43 secondary cases arose within 14 days of identification of the primary case, and 81 household members remained negative. The 7-day secondary attack rate was 4% (95% CI 1%-10%), the 14-day secondary attack rate was 28% (95% CI 17%-40%). Of 38 secondary cases with data, eight reported symptoms (21%, 95% CI 8%-34%). Antibody to SARS-CoV-2 spike protein at enrolment was not associated with risk of becoming a secondary case.

conclusionHouseholds in our setting experienced a lower 7-day attack rate than a recent meta-analysis indicated as the global average (23%-43% depending on variant), and infection is mostly asymptomatic in our setting.

Indexed as

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2Spike Glycoprotein, CoronavirusHumansIncidenceKenyaPrevalenceProspective StudiesSpike Glycoprotein, Coronavirusspike protein, SARS-CoV-2household transmissionlongitudinal cohortSARS-CoV-2seroprevalence

Identifiers

PMID37752066
PMCPMC10522480
OpenAlexW4387034966

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.