Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37752065›Full record

ArticleInfluenza and other respiratory viruses2023

SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence and implications for population immunity: Evidence from two Health and Demographic Surveillance System sites in Kenya, February-December 2022.

E Wangeci Kagucia, Abdhala K Ziraba, James Nyagwange, Bernadette Kutima, Makobu Kimani, Donald Akech, Maurine Ng'oda, Antipa Sigilai, Daisy Mugo, Henry Karanja and 28 more

Abstract read
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Article in Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

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  10. Rethinking the evidence on COVID-19 in Africa.The Lancet. Infectious diseases · 2025
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
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  17. Characterizing the evolving SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in urban and rural Malawi between February 2021 and April 2022: A population-based cohort study.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2023
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

38 authors.

E Wangeci KaguciaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.ORCID 0000-0002-4481-8889
Abdhala K ZirabaAfrican Population and Health Research Center, Nairobi, Kenya.
James NyagwangeKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Bernadette KutimaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Makobu KimaniKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Donald AkechKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Maurine Ng'odaAfrican Population and Health Research Center, Nairobi, Kenya.
Antipa SigilaiKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Daisy MugoKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Henry KaranjaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
John GitongaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Angela KaraniKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Monica ToroitichKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Boniface KariaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Mark OtiendeKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Anne NjeriAfrican Population and Health Research Center, Nairobi, Kenya.
Rashid AmanMinistry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.
Patrick AmothMinistry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.
Mercy MwangangiMinistry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.
Kadondi KaseraMinistry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.
Wangari Ng'ang'aPresidential Policy and Strategy Unit, The Presidency, Government of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya.
Shirine VollerKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Lynette I Ochola-OyierKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Christian BottomleyLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Amek NyaguaraKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Patrick K MunywokiDivision for Global Health Protection, US Centers of Disease Control and Prevention, Center for Global Health, Nairobi, Kenya.
Godfrey BigogoKEMRI Centre for Global Health Research, Kisumu, Kenya.
Eric MaithaDepartment of Health, Kilifi, Kenya.
Sophie UyogaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Katherine E GallagherKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Anthony O EtyangKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Edwine BarasaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Joseph MwangangiKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Philip BejonKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Ifedayo M O AdetifaKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
George M WarimweKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
J Anthony G ScottKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.
Ambrose AgweyuKEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Kilifi, Kenya.

Funding

Gates Foundation INV-039626Medical Research Council MR/R010161/1Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 214320
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe sought to estimate SARS-CoV-2 antibody seroprevalence within representative samples of the Kenyan population during the third year of the COVID-19 pandemic and the second year of COVID-19 vaccine use.

methodsWe conducted cross-sectional serosurveys among randomly selected, age-stratified samples of Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS) residents in Kilifi and Nairobi. Anti-spike (anti-S) immunoglobulin G (IgG) serostatus was measured using a validated in-house ELISA and antibody concentrations estimated with reference to the WHO International Standard for anti-SARS-CoV-2 immunoglobulin.

resultsHDSS residents were sampled in February-June 2022 (Kilifi HDSS N = 852; Nairobi Urban HDSS N = 851) and in August-December 2022 (N = 850 for both sites). Population-weighted coverage for ≥1 doses of COVID-19 vaccine were 11.1% (9.1-13.2%) among Kilifi HDSS residents by November 2022 and 34.2% (30.7-37.6%) among Nairobi Urban HDSS residents by December 2022. Population-weighted anti-S IgG seroprevalence among Kilifi HDSS residents increased from 69.1% (65.8-72.3%) by May 2022 to 77.4% (74.4-80.2%) by November 2022. Within the Nairobi Urban HDSS, seroprevalence by June 2022 was 88.5% (86.1-90.6%), comparable with seroprevalence by December 2022 (92.2%; 90.2-93.9%). For both surveys, seroprevalence was significantly lower among Kilifi HDSS residents than among Nairobi Urban HDSS residents, as were antibody concentrations (p < 0.001).

conclusionMore than 70% of Kilifi residents and 90% of Nairobi residents were seropositive for anti-S IgG by the end of 2022. There is a potential immunity gap in rural Kenya; implementation of interventions to improve COVID-19 vaccine uptake among sub-groups at increased risk of severe COVID-19 in rural settings is recommended.

Indexed as

Antibodies, ViralCOVID-19Immunoglobulin GSARS-CoV-2AdolescentAdultAgedChildChild, PreschoolCOVID-19 VaccinesCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansInfantKenyaMaleAntibodies, ViralCOVID-19 VaccinesImmunoglobulin GCOVID-19Health and Demographic Surveillance SystemIgG antibodyKenyaSARS-CoV-2seroprevalence

Identifiers

PMID37752065
PMCPMC10522478

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.