Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37745026›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2023

Risk-stratified monitoring for thiopurine toxicity in immune-mediated inflammatory diseases: prognostic model development, validation, and, health economic evaluation.

Georgina Nakafero, Tim Card, Matthew J Grainge, Hywel C Williams, Maarten W Taal, Guruprasad P Aithal, Christopher P Fox, Christian D Mallen, Danielle A van der Windt, Matthew D Stevenson and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Pharmacogenomics · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Georgina NakaferoAcademic Rheumatology, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG5 1PB, UK.
Tim CardLifespan and Population Health, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG5 1PB, UK.
Matthew J GraingeLifespan and Population Health, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG5 1PB, UK.
Hywel C WilliamsLifespan and Population Health, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG5 1PB, UK.
Maarten W TaalCentre for Kidney Research and Innovation, School of Medicine, Translational Medical Sciences, University of Nottingham, Derby DE22 3NE, UK.
Guruprasad P AithalNottingham Digestive Diseases Centre, Translational Medical Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG7 2UH, UK.
Christopher P FoxTranslational Medical Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
Christian D MallenPrimary Care Centre Versus Arthritis, School of Medicine, Keele University, Keele ST5 5BJ, UK.
Danielle A van der WindtPrimary Care Centre Versus Arthritis, School of Medicine, Keele University, Keele ST5 5BJ, UK.
Matthew D StevensonSchool of Health and Related Research, University of Sheffield, Sheffield S1 4DA, UK.
Richard D RileyInstitute of Applied Health Research, College of Medical and Dental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK.
Abhishek AbhishekAcademic Rheumatology, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG5 1PB, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Patients established on thiopurines (e.g., azathioprine) are recommended to undergo three-monthly blood tests for the early detection of blood, liver, or kidney toxicity. These side-effects are uncommon during long-term treatment. We developed a prognostic model that could be used to inform risk-stratified decisions on frequency of monitoring blood-tests during long-term thiopurine treatment, and, performed health-economic evaluation of alternate monitoring intervals. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study set in the UK primary-care. Data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum and Gold formed development and validation cohorts, respectively. People age ≥18 years, diagnosed with an immune mediated inflammatory disease, prescribed thiopurine by their general practitioner for at-least six-months between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2019 were eligible. The outcome was thiopurine discontinuation with abnormal blood-test results. Patients were followed up from six-months after first primary-care thiopurine prescription to up to five-years. Penalised Cox regression developed the risk equation. Multiple imputation handled missing predictor data. Calibration and discrimination assessed model performance. A mathematical model evaluated costs and quality-adjusted life years associated with lengthening the interval between blood-tests. Findings: Data from 5982 (405 events over 16,117 person-years) and 3573 (269 events over 9075 person-years) participants were included in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. Fourteen candidate predictors (21 parameters) were included. The optimism adjusted R Interpretation: This prognostic model requires information that is readily available during routine clinical care and may be used to risk-stratify blood-test monitoring for thiopurine toxicity. These findings should be considered by specialist societies when recommending blood monitoring during thiopurine prescription to bring about sustainable and equitable change in clinical practice. Funding: National Institute for Health and Care Research.

Indexed as

Drug toxicity predictionInflammatory bowel diseaseThiopurine

Identifiers

PMID37745026
PMCPMC10514402

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.