Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37738617›Full record

ArticleBJS open2023

Development and validation of a novel risk score to predict overall survival following surgical clearance of bilobar colorectal liver metastases.

Bobby V M Dasari, Dimitri Raptis, Nicholas Syn, Alejandro Serrablo, Jose Manuel Ramia, Andrea Laurenzi, Christian Sturesson, Timothy M Pawlik, Ajith K Siriwardena, Mickael Lesurtel and 1 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in BJS open, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 10 institutions in 7 countries.

Bobby V M DasariInstitute of Immunology and Immunotherapy, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-2375-1141
Dimitri RaptisDepartment of HPB Surgery and Liver Transplantation, Royal Free Hospital, London, UK.
Nicholas SynDepartment of HPB Surgery and Liver Transplantation, National University of Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-6343-176X
Alejandro SerrabloHBP Surgical Division, Miguel Servet University Hospital, Zaragoza, Spain.
Jose Manuel RamiaDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery and Liver Transplantation, Hospital General Universitario de Alicante, Alicante, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-1186-953X
Andrea LaurenziHepatobiliary Surgery and Organ Transplantation, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Bologna, Bologna, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-0061-2843
Christian SturessonDivision of Surgery, Department of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology (CLINTEC), Karolinska Institutet and Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-3451-2840
Timothy M PawlikDivision of Surgery, Oncology, and Health Services Management and Policy, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Ohio, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7994-9870
Ajith K SiriwardenaDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Manchester Royal Infirmary, Manchester, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8004-0560
Mickael LesurtelDepartment of HPB Surgery & Liver Transplantation, Beaujon Hospital-University of Paris Cité, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0003-2397-4599
BiCRLM study collaborators
Azienda USL di Bologna · ITKarolinska University Hospital · SENational University of Singapore · SGThe Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center · USThe Royal Free Hospital · GBHospital General Universitario de Alicante Doctor Balmis · ESHospital Universitario Miguel Servet · ESManchester Royal Infirmary · GBQueen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham · GBUniversité Paris Cité · FR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer pose a challenge for obtaining a satisfactory oncological outcome with an adequate future liver remnant. This study aimed to assess the clinical and pathological determinants of overall survival and recurrence-free survival among patients undergoing surgical clearance of bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer.

methodsA retrospective international multicentre study of patients who underwent surgery for bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer between January 2012 and December 2018 was conducted. Overall survival and recurrence-free survival at 1, 2, 3 and 5 years after surgery were the primary outcomes evaluated. The secondary outcomes were duration of postoperative hospital stay, and 90-day major morbidity and mortality rates. A prognostic nomogram was developed using covariates selected from a Cox proportional hazards regression model, and internally validated using a 3:1 random partition into derivation and validation cohorts.

resultsA total of 1236 patients were included from 70 centres. The majority (88 per cent) of the patients had synchronous liver metastases. Overall survival at 1, 2, 3 and 5 years was 86.4 per cent, 67.5 per cent, 52.6 per cent and 33.8 per cent, and the recurrence-free survival rates were 48.7 per cent, 26.6 per cent, 19.2 per cent and 10.5 per cent respectively. A total of 25 per cent of patients had recurrent disease within 6 months. Margin positivity and progressive disease at liver resection were poor prognostic factors, while adjuvant chemotherapy in margin-positive resections improved overall survival. The bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer-overall survival nomogram was developed from the derivation cohort based on pre- and postoperative factors. The nomogram's ability to forecast overall survival at 1, 2, 3 and 5 years was subsequently validated on the validation cohort and showed high accuracy (overall C-index = 0.742).

conclusionDespite the high recurrence rates, overall survival of patients undergoing surgical resection for bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer is encouraging. The novel bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer-overall survival nomogram helps in counselling and informed decision-making of patients planned for treatment of bilobar liver metastases from colorectal cancer.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsLiver NeoplasmsHumansRetrospective StudiesSurgical Clearance

Identifiers

PMID37738617
PMCPMC10516618
OpenAlexW4386953882

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.