Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37735560›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2023

Modeling policy interventions for slowing the spread of artemisinin-resistant pfkelch R561H mutations in Rwanda.

Robert J Zupko, Tran Dang Nguyen, J Claude S Ngabonziza, Michee Kabera, Haojun Li, Thu Nguyen-Anh Tran, Kien Trung Tran, Aline Uwimana, Maciej F Boni

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  16. Artemisinin-resistant malaria.Clinical microbiology reviews · 2024
    Review
  17. BMJ open · 2024
    Observational
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. The Antiviral and Antimalarial Prodrug Artemisinin from theCurrent issues in molecular biology · 2024
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Robert J ZupkoCenter for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Department of Biology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA. rbz5100@psu.edu.ORCID 0000-0001-8757-483X
Tran Dang NguyenCenter for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Department of Biology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA.
J Claude S NgabonzizaResearch, Innovation and Data Science Division, Rwanda Biomedical Center (RBC), Kigali, Rwanda.
Michee KaberaMalaria and Other Parasitic Diseases Division, Rwanda Biomedical Centre (RBC), Kigali, Rwanda.
Haojun LiCenter for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Department of Biology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA.
Thu Nguyen-Anh TranCenter for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Department of Biology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6789-5900
Kien Trung TranCenter for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Department of Biology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA.
Aline UwimanaMalaria and Other Parasitic Diseases Division, Rwanda Biomedical Centre (RBC), Kigali, Rwanda.
Maciej F BoniCenter for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Department of Biology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0830-9630

Funding

Preparing for a world with artemisinin resistance: using individual-based epidemiological modeling to minimize the long-term detrimental effects of antimalarial drug resistanceR01AI153355 · NIAID · TEMPLE UNIV OF THE COMMONWEALTH · PI BONI, MACIEJ F · 2020 to 2024
$1.8M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI153355
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Artemisinin combination therapies (ACTs) are highly effective at treating uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum malaria, but the emergence of the new pfkelch13 R561H mutation in Rwanda, associated with delayed parasite clearance, suggests that interventions are needed to slow its spread. Using a Rwanda-specific spatial calibration of an individual-based malaria model, we evaluate 26 strategies aimed at minimizing treatment failures and delaying the spread of R561H after 3, 5 and 10 years. Lengthening ACT courses and deploying multiple first-line therapies (MFTs) reduced treatment failures after 5 years when compared to the current approach of a 3-d course of artemether-lumefantrine. The best among these options (an MFT policy) resulted in median treatment failure counts that were 49% lower and a median R561H allele frequency that was 0.15 lower than under baseline. New approaches to resistance management, such as triple ACTs or sequential courses of two different ACTs, were projected to have a larger impact than longer ACT courses or MFT; these were associated with median treatment failure counts in 5 years that were 81-92% lower than the current approach. A policy response to currently circulating artemisinin-resistant genotypes in Africa is urgently needed to prevent a population-wide rise in treatment failures.

Indexed as

AntimalarialsArtemisininsMalaria, FalciparumArtemetherArtemether, Lumefantrine Drug CombinationDrug ResistanceHumansMutationPlasmodium falciparumRwandaAntimalarialsArtemetherArtemether, Lumefantrine Drug CombinationArtemisinins

Identifiers

PMID37735560
PMCPMC10667088

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.