Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37734805›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Global health2023

Catastrophic health expenditure during the COVID-19 pandemic in five countries: a time-series analysis.

Annie Haakenstad, Corinne Bintz, Megan Knight, Kelly Bienhoff, Horacio Chacon-Torrico, Walter H Curioso, Joseph L Dieleman, Anna Gage, Emmanuela Gakidou, Simon I Hay and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Global health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Annie HaakenstadInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA; Department of Health Metrics Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA. Electronic address: ahaak@uw.edu.
Corinne BintzInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Megan KnightInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Kelly BienhoffInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Horacio Chacon-TorricoDepartment of Health Metrics Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA; Faculty of Health Sciences, Southern Scientific University, Lima, Peru.
Walter H CuriosoDepartment of Biomedical Informatics and Medical Education, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA; Vice Rectorate for Research, Continental University, Lima, Peru.
Joseph L DielemanInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA; Department of Health Metrics Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Anna GageInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Emmanuela GakidouInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA; Department of Health Metrics Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Simon I HayInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA; Department of Health Metrics Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Nathaniel J HenryInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Akram Hernández-VásquezCenter of Excellence in Economic and Social Research in Health, San Ignacio de Loyola University, Lima, Peru.
Judith S Méndez MéndezSchool of Government and Public Transformation, Monterrey Institute of Technology, Mexico City, Mexico.
Héctor J VillarrealSchool of Government and Public Transformation, Monterrey Institute of Technology, Mexico City, Mexico.
Rafael LozanoInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA; Department of Health Metrics Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA; School of Medicine, National Autonomous University of Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic disrupted health systems in 2020, but it is unclear how financial hardship due to out-of-pocket (OOP) health-care costs was affected. We analysed catastrophic health expenditure (CHE) in 2020 in five countries with available household expenditure data: Belarus, Mexico, Peru, Russia, and Viet Nam. In Mexico and Peru, we also conducted an analysis of drivers of change in CHE in 2020 using publicly available data.

methodsIn this time-series analysis, we defined CHE as when OOP health-care spending exceeds 10% of consumption expenditure. Data for 2004-20 were obtained from individual and household level survey microdata (available for Mexico and Peru only), and tabulated data from the National Statistical Committee of Belarus and the World Bank Health Equity and Financial Protection Indicator database (for Viet Nam and Russia). We compared 2020 CHE with the CHE predicted from historical trends using an ensemble model. This method was also used to assess drivers of CHE: insurance coverage, OOP expenditure, and consumption expenditure. Interrupted time-series analysis was used to investigate the role of stay-at-home orders in March, 2020 in changes in health-care use and sector (ie, private vs public).

findingsIn Mexico, CHE increased to 5·6% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 5·1-6·2) in 2020, higher than predicted (3·2%, 2·5-4·0). In Belarus, CHE was 13·5% (11·8-15·2) in 2020, also higher than predicted (9·7%, 7·7-11·3). CHE was not different than predicted by past trends in Russia, Peru, and Viet Nam. Between March and April, 2020, health-care visits dropped by 4·6 (2·6-6·5) percentage points in Mexico and by 48·3 (40·6-56·0) percentage points in Peru, and the private share of health-care visits increased by 7·3 (4·3-10·3) percentage points in Mexico and by 20·7 (17·3-24·0) percentage points in Peru.

interpretationIn three of the five countries studied, health systems either did not protect people from the financial risks of health care or did not maintain health-care access in 2020, an indication of health systems failing to maintain basic functions. If the 2020 response to the COVID-19 pandemic accelerated shifts to private health-care use, policies to cover costs in that sector or motivate patients to return to the public sector are needed to maintain financial risk protection.

fundingThe Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Indexed as

COVID-19Health ExpendituresDatabases, FactualHumansPandemicsResearch Design

Identifiers

PMID37734805
PMCPMC10522803

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.