Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37728194›Full record

ArticleJournal of medical screening2024

The impact on clinical outcomes and healthcare resources from discontinuing colonoscopy surveillance subsequent to low-risk adenoma removal: A simulation study using the OncoSim-Colorectal model.

Kieran Jd Steer, Zhuolu Sun, Daniel C Sadowski, Jean H E Yong, Andrew Coldman, Nicole Nemecek, Huiming Yang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of medical screening, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Kieran Jd SteerDepartment of Community Health Sciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-5920-6861
Zhuolu SunCanadian Partnership Against Cancer, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Daniel C SadowskiDivision of Gastroenterology, University of Alberta Faculty of Medicine and Dentistry, Edmonton, AB, Canada.
Jean H E YongCanadian Partnership Against Cancer, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Andrew ColdmanCancer Control Research, British Columbia Cancer Research Centre, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Nicole NemecekProvincial Population and Public Health, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, AB, Canada.
Huiming YangDepartment of Community Health Sciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate the impact on clinical outcomes and healthcare resource use from recommending that patients with 1-2 low-risk adenomas (LRAs) return to routine fecal immunochemical test (FIT) screening instead of surveillance colonoscopy, from a Canadian provincial healthcare system perspective.

methodsThe OncoSim-Colorectal microsimulation model simulated average-risk individuals eligible for FIT-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening in Alberta, Canada. We simulated two surveillance strategies that applied to individuals with 1-2 LRAs (<10 mm) removed as part of the average risk CRC screening program: (a) Surveillance colonoscopy (status quo) and (b) return to FIT screening (new strategy); both at 5 years after polypectomy. A 75 ng/mL FIT positivity threshold was used in the base case. The simulations projected average annual CRC outcomes and healthcare resource use from 2023 to 2042. We conducted alternative scenarios and sensitivity analyses on key variables.

resultsReturning to FIT screening (versus surveillance colonoscopy) after polypectomy was projected to have minimal impact on long-term CRC incidence and deaths (not statistically significant). There was a projected decrease of one (4%) major bleeding event and seven (5%) perforation events per year. There was a projected increase of 4800 (1.5%) FIT screens, decrease of 3900 (5.1%) colonoscopies, and a decrease of $3.4 million (1.2%) in total healthcare costs per year, on average. The annual colonoscopies averted and healthcare cost savings increased over time. Results were similar in the alternative scenarios and sensitivity analyses.

conclusionsReturning to FIT screening would have similar clinical outcomes as surveillance colonoscopy but could reduce colonoscopy demand and healthcare costs.

Indexed as

AdenomaColonoscopyColorectal NeoplasmsEarly Detection of CancerAgedAlbertaComputer SimulationFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedColorectal cancerscreeningsimulationsurveillance

Identifiers

PMID37728194
PMCPMC11083724

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.