Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37725536›Full record

ArticleJMIRx med2021

Machine Learning for Risk Group Identification and User Data Collection in a Herpes Simplex Virus Patient Registry: Algorithm Development and Validation Study.

Svitlana Surodina, Ching Lam, Svetislav Grbich, Madison Milne-Ives, Michelle van Velthoven, Edward Meinert

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIRx med, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Svitlana SurodinaSkein Ltd, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9444-0917
Ching LamInstitute of Biomedical Engineering, Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9137-749X
Svetislav GrbichSkein Ltd, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1635-7691
Madison Milne-IvesCentre for Health Technology, University of Plymouth, Plymouth, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7628-882X
Michelle van VelthovenNuffield Department of Primary Health Sciences, Medical Sciences Division, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1245-8759
Edward MeinertCentre for Health Technology, University of Plymouth, Plymouth, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2484-3347

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundResearching people with herpes simplex virus (HSV) is challenging because of poor data quality, low user engagement, and concerns around stigma and anonymity.

objectiveThis project aimed to improve data collection for a real-world HSV registry by identifying predictors of HSV infection and selecting a limited number of relevant questions to ask new registry users to determine their level of HSV infection risk.

methodsThe US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 2015-2016) database includes the confirmed HSV type 1 and type 2 (HSV-1 and HSV-2, respectively) status of American participants (14-49 years) and a wealth of demographic and health-related data. The questionnaires and data sets from this survey were used to form two data sets: one for HSV-1 and one for HSV-2. These data sets were used to train and test a model that used a random forest algorithm (devised using Python) to minimize the number of anonymous lifestyle-based questions needed to identify risk groups for HSV.

resultsThe model selected a reduced number of questions from the NHANES questionnaire that predicted HSV infection risk with high accuracy scores of 0.91 and 0.96 and high recall scores of 0.88 and 0.98 for the HSV-1 and HSV-2 data sets, respectively. The number of questions was reduced from 150 to an average of 40, depending on age and gender. The model, therefore, provided high predictability of risk of infection with minimal required input.

conclusionsThis machine learning algorithm can be used in a real-world evidence registry to collect relevant lifestyle data and identify individuals' levels of risk of HSV infection. A limitation is the absence of real user data and integration with electronic medical records, which would enable model learning and improvement. Future work will explore model adjustments, anonymization options, explicit permissions, and a standardized data schema that meet the General Data Protection Regulation, Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act, and third-party interface connectivity requirements.

Indexed as

artificial intelligencedata collectionherpes simplex virusmachine learningmedical information systempredictorregistriesriskrisk assessmentuser-centered design

Identifiers

PMID37725536
PMCPMC10414389

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.