Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37723194›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Cross-national analyses require additional controls to account for the non-independence of nations.

Scott Claessens, Thanos Kyritsis, Quentin D Atkinson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Reply to Zadegan et al.: Spatial dependence is real, but not every correction travels well.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Satisfaction with democracy predicts democratic behaviors.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  3. Kava consumption and the rise of sociopolitical complexity in Oceania.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. The chronospatial revolution in psychology.Nature human behaviour · 2025
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Role of national regime ideology for predicting biodiversity outcomes.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Bridging theory and data: A computational workflow for cultural evolution.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Scott ClaessensSchool of Psychology, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand. scott.claessens@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3562-6981
Thanos KyritsisSchool of Psychology, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2790-1813
Quentin D AtkinsonSchool of Psychology, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand. q.atkinson@auckland.ac.nz.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8499-7535

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cross-national analyses test hypotheses about the drivers of variation in national outcomes. However, since nations are connected in various ways, such as via spatial proximity and shared cultural ancestry, cross-national analyses often violate assumptions of non-independence, inflating false positive rates. Here, we show that, despite being recognised as an important statistical pitfall for over 200 years, cross-national research in economics and psychology still does not sufficiently account for non-independence. In a review of the 100 highest-cited cross-national studies of economic development and values, we find that controls for non-independence are rare. When studies do control for non-independence, our simulations suggest that most commonly used methods are insufficient for reducing false positives in non-independent data. In reanalyses of twelve previous cross-national correlations, half of the estimates are compatible with no association after controlling for non-independence using global proximity matrices. We urge social scientists to sufficiently control for non-independence in cross-national research.

Identifiers

PMID37723194
PMCPMC10507061

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.