Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37722049›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2023

Changing climate and reorganized species interactions modify community responses to climate variability.

Junna Wang, Nancy B Grimm, Sharon P Lawler, Xiaoli Dong

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Repurposing long-term ecological studies for climate change.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Junna WangDepartment of Environmental Science and Policy, University of California, Davis, CA 95616.
Nancy B GrimmSchool of Life Sciences, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287.ORCID 0000-0001-9374-660X
Sharon P LawlerDepartment of Entomology & Nematology, University of California, Davis, CA 95616.
Xiaoli DongDepartment of Environmental Science and Policy, University of California, Davis, CA 95616.ORCID 0000-0003-3303-0735

Funding

NSF | BIO | Division of Environmental Biology (DEB) 1442522NSF | BIO | Division of Environmental Biology (DEB) 1457227
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

While an array of ecological mechanisms has been shown to stabilize natural community dynamics, how the effectiveness of these mechanisms-including both their direction (stabilizing vs. destabilizing) and strength-shifts under a changing climate remains unknown. Using a 35-y dataset (1985 to 2019) from a desert stream in central Arizona (USA), we found that as annual mean air temperature rose 1°C and annual mean precipitation reduced by 40% over the last two decades, macroinvertebrate communities experienced dramatic changes, from relatively stable states during the first 15 y of this study to wildly fluctuating states highly sensitive to climate variability in the last 10 y. Asynchronous species responses to climatic variability, the primary mechanism historically undergirding community stability, greatly weakened. The emerging climate regime-specifically, concurrent warming and prolonged multiyear drought-resulted in community-wide synchronous responses and reduced taxa richness. Diversity loss and new establishment of competitors reorganized species interactions. Unlike manipulative experiments that often suggest stabilizing roles of species interactions, we found that reorganized species interactions switched from stabilizing to destabilizing influences, further amplifying community fluctuations. Our study provides evidence of climate change-induced modifications of mechanisms underpinning long-term community stability, resulting in an overall destabilizing effect.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeDroughtsArizonaCluster AnalysisRiversclimate changecommunity stabilitycommunity-wide synchronous responsescompensatory dynamicsecosystem resilience

Identifiers

PMID37722049
PMCPMC10523507

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.