Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37719893›Full record

ArticleThe annals of applied statistics2023

BAYESIAN INFERENCE AND DYNAMIC PREDICTION FOR MULTIVARIATE LONGITUDINAL AND SURVIVAL DATA.

Haotian Zou, Donglin Zeng, Luo Xiao, Sheng Luo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The annals of applied statistics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Haotian ZouDepartment of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Donglin ZengDepartment of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Luo XiaoDepartment of Statistics, North Carolina State University.
Sheng LuoDepartment of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Duke University.

Funding

Resource Core 3 - Metabolomics CoreP30AG028716 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI Sarah B. Peskoe · 2006 to 2026
$24.6M
Research Education Component CoreP30AG072958 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI GWENN A GARDEN, Heather E. Whitson · 2021 to 2026
$24.1M
Statistical and Machine Learning Methods to Improve Dynamic Treatment Regimens Estimation Using Real World Data.R01GM124104 · NIGMS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Yuanjia Wang, Donglin Zeng · 2018 to 2026
$3.1M
Integrative modeling and dynamic prediction of Alzheimer's diseaseR01AG064803 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI LUO, SHENG · 2020 to 2024
$2.3M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG028716NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072958NIA NIH HHS R01 AG064803NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM124104
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a complex neurological disorder impairing multiple domains such as cognition and daily functions. To better understand the disease and its progression, many AD research studies collect multiple longitudinal outcomes that are strongly predictive of the onset of AD dementia. We propose a joint model based on a multivariate functional mixed model framework (referred to as MFMM-JM) that simultaneously models the multiple longitudinal outcomes and the time to dementia onset. We develop six functional forms to fully investigate the complex association between longitudinal outcomes and dementia onset. Moreover, we use the Bayesian methods for statistical inference and develop a dynamic prediction framework that provides accurate personalized predictions of disease progressions based on new subject-specific data. We apply the proposed MFMM-JM to two large ongoing AD studies: the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) and National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center (NACC), and identify the functional forms with the best predictive performance. our method is also validated by extensive simulation studies with five settings.

Indexed as

Alzheimer’s diseaseBayesian methodDynamic predictionFunctional mixed modelJoint modelMultivariate longitudinal data

Identifiers

PMID37719893
PMCPMC10500582

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.