ArticleScientific reports2023
Using surveillance data for early warning modelling of highly pathogenic avian influenza in Europe reveals a seasonal shift in transmission, 2016-2022.
Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 12 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed, 11 citations in OpenAlex.
- Continuous phylogeography reveals shifting environmental drivers of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 spread in Italy, 2016-23.Virus evolution · 2026Article
- Article
- Article
- Can public-domain datasets be leveraged to identify factors associated with the occurrence of African swine fever in europe?Acta veterinaria Scandinavica · 2025Article
- Predictiveness and drivers of highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks in Europe.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- The role of artificial intelligence in detecting avian influenza virus outbreaks: A review.Open veterinary journal · 2025Review
- Environmental Suitability of Kazakhstan to Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Using Data on Eurasian Outbreaks, 2020-2024.Viruses · 2025Article
- Prediction models show differences in highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks in Japan and South Korea compared to Europe.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Evaluation of risk-based antigen and antibody surveillance strategies and their association with HPAI outbreaks in South Korean duck farms.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2025Article
- Artificial intelligence in epidemic watch: revolutionizing infectious diseases surveillance.Frontiers in digital health · 2025Review
- Modern technologies and solutions to enhance surveillance and response systems for emerging zoonotic diseases.Science in One Health · 2024Review
- An overview of avian influenza surveillance strategies and modes.Science in One Health · 2023Review
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Avian influenza in wild birds and poultry flocks constitutes a problem for animal welfare, food security and public health. In recent years there have been increasing numbers of outbreaks in Europe, with many poultry flocks culled after being infected with highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI). Continuous monitoring is crucial to enable timely implementation of control to prevent HPAI spread from wild birds to poultry and between poultry flocks within a country. We here utilize readily available public surveillance data and time-series models to predict HPAI detections within European countries and show a seasonal shift that happened during 2021-2022. The output is models capable of monitoring the weekly risk of HPAI outbreaks, to support decision making.
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