Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37715097›Full record

ArticleJournal of general internal medicine2023

Electronic Health Records (EHRs) Can Identify Patients at High Risk of Fracture but Require Substantial Race Adjustments to Currently Available Fracture Risk Calculators.

Rajesh K Jain, Mark Weiner, Eric Polley, Amy Iwamaye, Elbert Huang, Tamara Vokes

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of general internal medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Changes in treatment eligibility with race-neutral US FRAX would be modest: estimates using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES).Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2026
    Article
  4. Biases in the performance of FRAX without BMD in predicting fracture risk in a multiethnic population with diabetes: the Diabetes and Aging Study.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2025
    Article
  5. An electronic health record (EHR)-based risk calculator can predict fractures comparably to FRAX: a proof-of-concept study.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2024
    Article
  6. Comment on article "Race-specific FRAX models are evidence-based and support equitable care: a response to the ASBMR Task Force Report on Clinical Algorithms for Fracture Risk".Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2024
    Article
  7. Race-specific FRAX models are evidence-based and support equitable care: a response to the ASBMR Task Force report on Clinical Algorithms for Fracture Risk.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Rajesh K JainDepartment of Medicine, Section of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Metabolism, The University of Chicago, 5841 South Maryland Ave, MC 1027, Chicago, IL, 60637, USA. rjain2@bsd.uchicago.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-3521-284X
Mark WeinerWeill Cornell Medicine, Clinical Population Health Sciences, New York, USA.
Eric PolleyDepartment of Public Health Sciences, The University of Chicago, Chicago, USA.
Amy IwamayeSection of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Metabolism, Lewis Katz School of Medicine at Temple University, Philadelphia, USA.
Elbert HuangDepartment of Medicine and Department of Public Health Sciences, The University of Chicago, Chicago, USA.
Tamara VokesDepartment of Medicine, Section of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Metabolism, The University of Chicago, 5841 South Maryland Ave, MC 1027, Chicago, IL, 60637, USA.
Chicago Department of Public Health · USUniversity of Chicago · USCornell University · USTemple University · US

Funding

Research Design, Data, and Analytics CoreP30DK092949 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI Ronald T. Ackermann, MARSHALL H CHIN · 2011 to 2026
$10.0M
NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK092949
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOsteoporotic fracture prediction calculators are poorly utilized in primary care, leading to underdiagnosis and undertreatment of those at risk for fracture. The use of these calculators could be improved if predictions were automated using the electronic health record (EHR). However, this approach is not well validated in multi-ethnic populations, and it is not clear if the adjustments for race or ethnicity made by calculators are appropriate.

objectiveTo investigate EHR-generated fracture predictions in a multi-ethnic population.

designRetrospective cohort study using data from the EHR.

settingAn urban, academic medical center in Philadelphia, PA.

participants12,758 White, 7,844 Black, and 3,587 Hispanic patients seeking routine care from 2010 to 2018 with mean 3.8 years follow-up.

interventionsNone. MEASUREMENTS: FRAX and QFracture, two of the most used fracture prediction tools, were studied. Risk for major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) and hip fracture were calculated using data from the EHR at baseline and compared to the number of fractures that occurred during follow-up.

resultsMOF rates varied from 3.2 per 1000 patient-years in Black men to 7.6 in White women. FRAX and QFracture had similar discrimination for MOF prediction (area under the curve, AUC, 0.69 vs. 0.70, p=0.08) and for hip fracture prediction (AUC 0.77 vs 0.79, p=0.21) and were similar by race or ethnicity. FRAX had superior calibration than QFracture (calibration-in-the-large for FRAX 0.97 versus QFracture 2.02). The adjustment factors used in MOF prediction were generally accurate in Black women, but underestimated risk in Black men, Hispanic women, and Hispanic men. LIMITATIONS: Single center design.

conclusionsFracture predictions using only EHR inputs can discriminate between high and low risk patients, even in Black and Hispanic patients, and could help primary care physicians identify patients who need screening or treatment. However, further refinements to the calculators may better adjust for race-ethnicity.

Indexed as

Hip FracturesOsteoporotic FracturesBone DensityElectronic Health RecordsFemaleHumansMaleRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk Factorsblackelectronic medical recordethnicityfracturehispanicosteoporosisrace

Identifiers

PMID37715097
PMCPMC10713897
OpenAlexW4386764843

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.