Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37712957›Full record

ArticleJournal of cancer research and clinical oncology2023

Global burden of early-onset colorectal cancer among people aged 40-49 years from 1990 to 2019 and predictions to 2030.

Xiaowei Tang, Jieyu Peng, Shu Huang, Huan Xu, Ping Wang, Jiao Jiang, Wei Zhang, Xiaomin Shi, Lei Shi, Xiaolin Zhong and 1 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of cancer research and clinical oncology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Xiaowei TangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, No. 28 Fuxing Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100853, China. solitude5834@hotmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6064-0526
Jieyu PengDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Shu HuangDepartment of Gastroenterology, Lianshui County People' Hospital, Huaian, China.
Huan XuDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Ping WangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Jiao JiangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Wei ZhangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Xiaomin ShiDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Lei ShiDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Xiaolin ZhongDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Muhan LüDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.
Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University · CNChinese PLA General Hospital · CNNanjing Medical University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo explore the disease burden of early-onset colorectal cancer (EO-CRC) in individuals aged 40-49 years and provide baseline evidence for routine recommended age adjustment for CRC screening and other clinical decision-making.

methodsWe collected data stratified by sex, risk factors, and socio-demographic index (SDI) from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 Data Resources. Trends in disease burden were analyzed by estimated annual percentage change. The Bayesian age-period-cohort model predicted the burden over the following 10 years.

resultsIn 2019, the global rates of incidence, mortality, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) of EO-CRC in people aged 40-44 years were 11.48 (95% uncertainty interval: 10.50-12.59), 4.35 (4.01-4.70), 72.63 (66.48-79.52), 209.82 (193.55-226.59) per 100,000 population. For people aged 45-49 years, the rates of these four estimates were 19.63 (17.97-21.54), 7.76 (7.16-8.41), 121.73 (110.99-133.84), and 335.83 (310.14-362.91), respectively. The incidence and prevalence rates for both age groups increased while the mortality and DALY rates remained stable from 1990 to 2019. In 2019, high-income North America had the highest incidence and prevalence rates. A low milk diet accounted for the largest proportion of global DALYs in EO-CRC, and there was a tendency for the DALY rate first to increase and then decrease with increasing SDI. The incidence and mortality rates were predicted to increase in the next 10 years.

conclusionThe current and future burden of EO-CRC among people aged 40-49 years is heavy. Substantial variation exists in disease burden across regions and countries. Urgent screening actions and policies are needed.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsGlobal Burden of DiseaseBayes TheoremHumansIncidenceQuality-Adjusted Life YearsRisk FactorsEarly-onset colorectal cancerGlobal burden of diseasePredictionRisk factorSocio-demographic index

Identifiers

PMID37712957
PMCPMC11796718
OpenAlexW4386757512

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.