Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37709741›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Deciphering local and regional hydroclimate resolves contradicting evidence on the Asian monsoon evolution.

Annabel Wolf, Vasile Ersek, Tobias Braun, Amanda D French, David McGee, Stefano M Bernasconi, Vanessa Skiba, Michael L Griffiths, Kathleen R Johnson, Jens Fohlmeister and 11 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Reply to Lu et al.: Robust Intertropical Convergence Zone variability reconstructed from Maritime Continent speleothem δProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

21 authors.

Annabel WolfDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA, 92697, USA. wolfa2@uci.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2910-874X
Vasile ErsekDepartment of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Northumbria University Newcastle, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, NE1 8ST, UK. vasile.ersek@northumbria.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9730-0007
Tobias BraunPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3095-8960
Amanda D FrenchEnvironmental Research Institute, Waikato University, Hamilton, 3240, New Zealand.
David McGeeDepartment of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, 02139-4307, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7329-3428
Stefano M BernasconiDepartment of Earth Sciences, ETH Zürich, Zürich, 8092, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7672-8856
Vanessa SkibaPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0496-120X
Michael L GriffithsDepartment of Environmental Science, William Paterson University, Wayne, NJ, 07470, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4051-7568
Kathleen R JohnsonDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, CA, 92697, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1291-198X
Jens FohlmeisterFederal Office for Radiations Protection, 10318, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0002-1654-3715
Sebastian F M BreitenbachDepartment of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Northumbria University Newcastle, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, NE1 8ST, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9615-2065
Francesco S R PausataDepartment of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Centre ESCER (Étude et la Simulation du Climat à l'Échelle Régionale) and GEOTOP (Research Center on the dynamics of the Earth System), University of Quebec in Montreal, Montréal, QC, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5182-8420
Clay R TaborDepartment of Earth Sciences, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, 06269, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9915-6157
Jack LongmanDepartment of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Northumbria University Newcastle, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, NE1 8ST, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2725-2617
William H G RobertsDepartment of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Northumbria University Newcastle, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, NE1 8ST, UK.
Deepak ChandanDepartment of Physics, University of Toronto, 60 St. George Street, Toronto, ON, M5S1A7, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0756-754X
W Richard PeltierDepartment of Physics, University of Toronto, 60 St. George Street, Toronto, ON, M5S1A7, Canada.
Ulrich SalzmannDepartment of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Northumbria University Newcastle, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, NE1 8ST, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5598-5327
Deborah LimbertOxalis Company, Phong Nha Bố Trạch, Quảng Bình, Viet Nam.
Hong Quan TrinhInstitute of Chemistry, Vietnam Academy of Science and Technology, Ha Noi, 10072, Viet Nam.
Anh Duc TrinhNuclear Training Center, Vietnam Atomic Energy Institute, 140 Nguyen Tuan, Thanh Xuan, Ha Noi, 11416, Viet Nam.

Funding

Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (German Research Foundation) FO 809/6-1National Foundation for Science and Technology Development (Vietnam's National Foundation for Science and Technology Development) NE/P014577/1National Science Foundation (NSF) AGS-1804747National Science Foundation (NSF) AGS-2103051National Science Foundation (NSF) AGS-2103129Northumbria University (Northumbria University, Newcastle) PhD studentship
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The winter and summer monsoons in Southeast Asia are important but highly variable sources of rainfall. Current understanding of the winter monsoon is limited by conflicting proxy observations, resulting from the decoupling of regional atmospheric circulation patterns and local rainfall dynamics. These signals are difficult to decipher in paleoclimate reconstructions. Here, we present a winter monsoon speleothem record from Southeast Asia covering the Holocene and find that winter and summer rainfall changed synchronously, forced by changes in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. In contrast, regional atmospheric circulation shows an inverse relation between winter and summer controlled by seasonal insolation over the Northern Hemisphere. We show that disentangling the local and regional signal in paleoclimate reconstructions is crucial in understanding and projecting winter and summer monsoon variability in Southeast Asia.

Identifiers

PMID37709741
PMCPMC10502020

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.