Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37708159›Full record

ArticleJournal of biological dynamics2023

A computational approach to identifiability analysis for a model of the propagation and control of COVID-19 in Chile.

Raimund Bürger, Gerardo Chowell, Ilja Kröker, Leidy Yissedt Lara-Díaz

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of biological dynamics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Raimund BürgerCI[Formula: see text]MA and Departamento de Ingeniería Matemática, Facultad de Ciencias Físicas y Matemáticas, Universidad de Concepción, Concepción, Chile.
Gerardo ChowellSchool of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Ilja KrökerStochastic Simulation & Safety Research for Hydrosystems (LS3), Institute for Modelling Hydraulic and Environmental Systems (IWS), Universität Stuttgart, Stuttgart, Germany.
Leidy Yissedt Lara-DíazDepartamento de Matemática, Física y Estadística, Facultad de Ciencias Básicas, Universidad Católica del Maule, Talca, Chile.

Funding

Ebola modeling: behavior, asymptomatic infection, and contacts (2019-nCoV Admin Supplement)R01GM130900 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI PORCO, TRAVIS CHRISTIAN · 2019 to 2022
$1.6M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM130900
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A computational approach is adapted to analyze the parameter identifiability of a compartmental model. The model is intended to describe the progression of the COVID-19 pandemic in Chile during the initial phase in early 2020 when government declared quarantine measures. The computational approach to analyze the structural and practical identifiability is applied in two parts, one for synthetic data and another for some Chilean regional data. The first part defines the identifiable parameter sets when these recover the true parameters used to create the synthetic data. The second part compares the results derived from synthetic data, estimating the identifiable parameter sets from regional Chilean epidemic data. Experiments provide evidence of the loss of identifiability if some initial conditions are estimated, the period of time used to fit is before the peak, and if a significant proportion of the population is involved in quarantine periods.

Indexed as

COVID-19ChileHumansModels, BiologicalPandemicsQuarantinebasic reproduction numberCOVID-19 modeldynamical quarantinesidentifiability of parametersparameter estimationsimulated annealing

Identifiers

PMID37708159
PMCPMC10620014

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.