Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37707833›Full record

ArticleTobacco control2024

Extent of illicit cigarette sales in Nepal: findings from a retail survey.

Sangita Shakya, Anjana Lamichhane, Pranav Karki, Jaya Kumar Gurung, Pranil Man Singh Pradhan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tobacco control, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. The Extent of Illicit Cigarette Sales in Five Rural Districts of Pakistan: A Cross-sectional Study.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Sangita ShakyaNepal Development Research Institute, Lalitpur, Nepal sshakya1987@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-9963-7591
Anjana LamichhaneNepal Development Research Institute, Lalitpur, Nepal.ORCID 0000-0002-0694-9853
Pranav KarkiNepal Development Research Institute, Lalitpur, Nepal.
Jaya Kumar GurungNepal Development Research Institute, Lalitpur, Nepal.
Pranil Man Singh PradhanDepartment of Community Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu, Nepal.ORCID 0000-0002-0066-8583

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionIncreasing the tax on cigarettes is widely considered the most effective method to reduce its consumption. However, Nepal has a low cigarette tax as policymakers in Nepal are concerned about illicit trade of cigarettes if taxes are increased.

methodsThe study employed a retail survey approach used in India suitable for countries with prevalent loose cigarette sales, with improved methodology. In 2021, empty cigarette packs generated in a day's loose cigarette sales were collected directly from cigarette retailers from 23 primary sampling units covering rural/urban, geographic divisions, border/non-border to India and tobacco factory locations. The central points of each primary sampling unit were identified, and retailers were selected for the survey. A cigarette pack was classified as illicit if it had at least one of the following attributes: (a) no authentic excise duty sticker, (b) no graphic health warning, (c) no mention of 'maximum retail price/MRP' and (d) no production date, name, address and trademark.

findingsWe collected 4307 empty cigarette packs from 1204 retailers and 0.33% of them were classified as illicit. The estimates varied across location with the highest prevalence of illicit packs in Kathmandu (1.25%). All the illicit cigarettes were imported and were high-priced brands (>90%), mostly found in urban areas and not bordering India.

conclusionOur estimate of the illicit cigarette market share of 0.33% suggests that the industry's statement of 25% is grossly overstated.

Indexed as

CommerceTaxesTobacco ProductsCrimeHumansNepalSurveys and Questionnairesillegal tobacco productslow/middle income countrytaxationtobacco industry

Identifiers

PMID37707833
PMCPMC11503087

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.