Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37703365›Full record

ArticleScience advances2023

Earth beyond six of nine planetary boundaries.

Katherine Richardson, Will Steffen, Wolfgang Lucht, Jørgen Bendtsen, Sarah E Cornell, Jonathan F Donges, Markus Drüke, Ingo Fetzer, Govindasamy Bala, Werner von Bloh and 19 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 329 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
329citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

329 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. The evidence base for ranger patrol effectiveness in conservation and how to improve it.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2026
    Pooled it
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  5. Article
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  8. From Beliefs to Action: Dietitians' Perspectives on Environmental Sustainability and a Pathway to Planetary Health Framework for Food System Change.Journal of human nutrition and dietetics : the official journal of the British Dietetic Association · 2026
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Estimating the total mortality of seabirds following a marine heat wave.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2026
    Article
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269 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

29 authors.

Katherine RichardsonGlobe Institute, Faculty of Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-3785-2787
Will SteffenAustralian National University, Canberra, Australia.
Wolfgang LuchtPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.
Jørgen BendtsenGlobe Institute, Faculty of Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0003-1393-3072
Sarah E CornellStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-4367-1296
Jonathan F DongesPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5233-7703
Markus DrükePotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-8004-7153
Ingo FetzerStockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-7335-5679
Govindasamy BalaCentre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, Karnataka - 560012, India.ORCID 0000-0002-3079-0600
Werner von BlohPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7399-2704
Georg FeulnerPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-9215-5517
Stephanie FiedlerGEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel and Faculty for Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel, Kiel, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-8898-9949
Dieter GertenPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.
Tom GleesonDepartment of Civil Engineering, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-9493-7707
Matthias HofmannPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.
Willem HuiskampPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-6615-6348
Matti KummuWater and Development Research Group, Aalto University, Espoo, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-5096-0163
Chinchu MohanGEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel and Faculty for Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel, Kiel, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-7611-3392
David Nogués-BravoGlobe Institute, Faculty of Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-4060-0153
Stefan PetriPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-4379-4643
Miina PorkkaWater and Development Research Group, Aalto University, Espoo, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-8285-6122
Stefan RahmstorfPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-6786-7723
Sibyll SchaphoffPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.
Kirsten ThonickePotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5283-4937
Arne TobianPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-4793-7226
Vili VirkkiWater and Development Research Group, Aalto University, Espoo, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-2603-3420
Lan Wang-ErlandssonPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7739-5069
Lisa WeberGEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel and Faculty for Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel, Kiel, Germany.
Johan RockströmPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-8988-2983

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This planetary boundaries framework update finds that six of the nine boundaries are transgressed, suggesting that Earth is now well outside of the safe operating space for humanity. Ocean acidification is close to being breached, while aerosol loading regionally exceeds the boundary. Stratospheric ozone levels have slightly recovered. The transgression level has increased for all boundaries earlier identified as overstepped. As primary production drives Earth system biosphere functions, human appropriation of net primary production is proposed as a control variable for functional biosphere integrity. This boundary is also transgressed. Earth system modeling of different levels of the transgression of the climate and land system change boundaries illustrates that these anthropogenic impacts on Earth system must be considered in a systemic context.

Identifiers

PMID37703365
PMCPMC10499318

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.