Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37699877›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Feeding climate and biodiversity goals with novel plant-based meat and milk alternatives.

Marta Kozicka, Petr Havlík, Hugo Valin, Eva Wollenberg, Andre Deppermann, David Leclère, Pekka Lauri, Rebekah Moses, Esther Boere, Stefan Frank and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed
30.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 124 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
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  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Plant-Based Alternatives to Meat Products.Foods (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Sustainability of animal-sourced foods and plant-based alternatives.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  19. A perspective on the environmental impact of plant-based protein concentrates and isolates.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  20. A multicriteria analysis of meat and milk alternatives from nutritional, health, environmental, and cost perspectives.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 3 institutions in 4 countries.

Marta KozickaInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria. kozicka@iiasa.ac.at.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2323-3689
Petr HavlíkInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5551-5085
Hugo ValinInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0618-773X
Eva WollenbergGund Institute, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4335-2562
Andre DeppermannInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7943-4842
David LeclèreInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8658-1509
Pekka LauriInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
Rebekah MosesImpossible Foods, Redwood City, CA, USA.
Esther BoereInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.
Stefan FrankInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5702-8547
Chris DavisImpossible Foods, Redwood City, CA, USA.
Esther ParkImpossible Foods, Redwood City, CA, USA.
Noel GurwickUSAID Center for Development, Democracy, and Innovation, Washington, DC, USA.
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis · ATUnited States Agency for International Development · USUniversity of Vermont · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Plant-based animal product alternatives are increasingly promoted to achieve more sustainable diets. Here, we use a global economic land use model to assess the food system-wide impacts of a global dietary shift towards these alternatives. We find a substantial reduction in the global environmental impacts by 2050 if globally 50% of the main animal products (pork, chicken, beef and milk) are substituted-net reduction of forest and natural land is almost fully halted and agriculture and land use GHG emissions decline by 31% in 2050 compared to 2020. If spared agricultural land within forest ecosystems is restored to forest, climate benefits could double, reaching 92% of the previously estimated land sector mitigation potential. Furthermore, the restored area could contribute to 13-25% of the estimated global land restoration needs under target 2 from the Kunming Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework by 2030, and future declines in ecosystem integrity by 2050 would be more than halved. The distribution of these impacts varies across regions-the main impacts on agricultural input use are in China and on environmental outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa and South America. While beef replacement provides the largest impacts, substituting multiple products is synergistic.

Indexed as

EcosystemMagnoliopsidaAnimalsBiodiversityCattleGoalsMeatMilk

Identifiers

PMID37699877
PMCPMC10497520
OpenAlexW4386636555

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.