Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37697867›Full record

ReviewHuman vaccines & immunotherapeutics2023

Predictive overfitting in immunological applications: Pitfalls and solutions.

Jeremy P Gygi, Steven H Kleinstein, Leying Guan

Open access · goldAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
8.2field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 53 citations in OpenAlex.

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  14. Machine learning in AIRR diagnostics: Advances and applications.Immunoinformatics (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Jeremy P GygiProgram in Computational Biology & Bioinformatics, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
Steven H KleinsteinProgram in Computational Biology & Bioinformatics, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
Leying GuanProgram in Computational Biology & Bioinformatics, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
Yale University · US

Funding

Systems investigation of vaccine responses in B cell depleted autoimmune patientsU19AI089992 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI David A. Hafler, RUTH R MONTGOMERY · 2010 to 2026
$50.4M
HIPC Data Coordinating CenterU01AI167892 · NIAID · LA JOLLA INSTITUTE FOR IMMUNOLOGY · PI Steven H. Kleinstein, Bjoern Peters · 2022 to 2026
$18.7M
NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI167892NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI089992
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Overfitting describes the phenomenon where a highly predictive model on the training data generalizes poorly to future observations. It is a common concern when applying machine learning techniques to contemporary medical applications, such as predicting vaccination response and disease status in infectious disease or cancer studies. This review examines the causes of overfitting and offers strategies to counteract it, focusing on model complexity reduction, reliable model evaluation, and harnessing data diversity. Through discussion of the underlying mathematical models and illustrative examples using both synthetic data and published real datasets, our objective is to equip analysts and bioinformaticians with the knowledge and tools necessary to detect and mitigate overfitting in their research.

Indexed as

Machine LearningVaccinationdata diversitydimension reductiondistributionally robust optimizationmodel evaluationOverfittingregularization

Identifiers

PMID37697867
PMCPMC10498807
OpenAlexW4386623843

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.