Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37696933›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2023

Viral genetic clustering and transmission dynamics of the 2022 mpox outbreak in Portugal.

Vítor Borges, Mariana Perez Duque, João Vieira Martins, Paula Vasconcelos, Rita Ferreira, Daniel Sobral, Ana Pelerito, Isabel Lopes de Carvalho, Maria Sofia Núncio, Maria José Borrego and 62 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Genome Sequencing in Infectious Disease Outbreaks.Advances in experimental medicine and biology · 2026
    Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Relationship dynamics and behavioral adaptations in the control of the 2022 mpox epidemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Mpox Virus as a Global Public Health Emergency: A Scoping Review.The Canadian journal of infectious diseases & medical microbiology = Journal canadien des maladies infectieuses et de la microbiologie medicale · 2025
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

72 authors.

Vítor Borges *Genomics and Bioinformatics Unit, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Mariana Perez Duque *Epidemiology and Statistics Division, Directorate-General of Health, Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9999-8402
João Vieira MartinsEpidemiology and Statistics Division, Directorate-General of Health, Lisbon, Portugal.
Paula VasconcelosPublic Health Emergency Centre, Directorate-General of Health, Lisbon, Portugal.
Rita FerreiraGenomics and Bioinformatics Unit, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Daniel SobralGenomics and Bioinformatics Unit, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3955-0117
Ana PeleritoEmergency Response and Biopreparedness Unit, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Isabel Lopes de CarvalhoEmergency Response and Biopreparedness Unit, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Maria Sofia NúncioEmergency Response and Biopreparedness Unit, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5182-6150
Maria José BorregoNational Reference Laboratory for Sexually Transmitted Infections, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Cornelius RoemerBiozentrum, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6138-6539
Richard A NeherBiozentrum, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2525-1407
Megan O'DriscollPathogen Dynamics Group, Department of Genetics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7972-5703
Raquel RochaNational Reference Laboratory for Sexually Transmitted Infections, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Sílvia LopoNational Reference Laboratory for Sexually Transmitted Infections, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Raquel NevesNational Reference Laboratory for Sexually Transmitted Infections, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Paula PalminhaNational Reference Laboratory for Sexually Transmitted Infections, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Luís CoelhoGenomics and Bioinformatics Unit, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Alexandra NunesGenomics and Bioinformatics Unit, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6449-8053
Joana IsidroGenomics and Bioinformatics Unit, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Miguel PintoGenomics and Bioinformatics Unit, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
João Dourado SantosGenomics and Bioinformatics Unit, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Verónica MixãoGenomics and Bioinformatics Unit, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6669-0161
Daniela SantosTechnology and Innovation Unit, Department of Human Genetics, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3648-8410
Silvia DuarteTechnology and Innovation Unit, Department of Human Genetics, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Luís VieiraTechnology and Innovation Unit, Department of Human Genetics, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7703-1409
Fátima MartinsTechnical Board, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Jorge MachadoDepartment Coordination, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Vítor Cabral VeríssimoEpidemiology and Statistics Division, Directorate-General of Health, Lisbon, Portugal.
Berta GrauEpidemiology and Statistics Division, Directorate-General of Health, Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7320-0965
André Peralta-SantosDirectorate of Information and Analysis, Directorate-General of Health, Lisbon, Portugal.
José NevesServiço de Dermatovenereologia, Consulta de DST, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Lisboa Central, Lisbon, Portugal.
Margarida CaldeiraServiço de Dermatovenereologia, Consulta de DST, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Lisboa Central, Lisbon, Portugal.
Mafalda PestanaServiço de Dermatovenereologia, Consulta de DST, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Lisboa Central, Lisbon, Portugal.
Cândida FernandesServiço de Dermatovenereologia, Consulta de DST, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Lisboa Central, Lisbon, Portugal.
João CariaServiço de Doenças Infeciosas, Hospital de Curry Cabral, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Lisboa Central, Lisbon, Portugal.
Raquel PintoServiço de Doenças Infeciosas, Hospital de Curry Cabral, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Lisboa Central, Lisbon, Portugal.
Diana PóvoasServiço de Doenças Infeciosas, Hospital de Curry Cabral, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Lisboa Central, Lisbon, Portugal.
Fernando MaltezServiço de Doenças Infeciosas, Hospital de Curry Cabral, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Lisboa Central, Lisbon, Portugal.
Ana Isabel SáUnidade de Doenças Sexualmente Transmissíveis da Lapa, Lisbon, Portugal.
Mafalda Brito SalvadorUnidade de Doenças Sexualmente Transmissíveis da Lapa, Lisbon, Portugal.
Eugénio TeófiloGAT - Grupo de Ativistas em Tratamentos, Av. Paris, Lisbon, Portugal.
Miguel RochaGAT - Grupo de Ativistas em Tratamentos, Av. Paris, Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1057-2419
Virginia MonetiGAT - Grupo de Ativistas em Tratamentos, Av. Paris, Lisbon, Portugal.
Luis Miguel DuqueGAT - Grupo de Ativistas em Tratamentos, Av. Paris, Lisbon, Portugal.
Francisco Ferreira E SilvaGAT - Grupo de Ativistas em Tratamentos, Intendente, Lisbon, Portugal.
Teresa BaptistaGAT - Grupo de Ativistas em Tratamentos, Intendente, Lisbon, Portugal.
Joana VasconcelosServiço de Doenças Infeciosas e Medicina Tropical, Hospital de Egas Moniz, Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
Sara CasanovaServiço de Doenças Infeciosas e Medicina Tropical, Hospital de Egas Moniz, Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
Kamal MansinhoServiço de Doenças Infeciosas e Medicina Tropical, Hospital de Egas Moniz, Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
João Vaz AlvesServiço de Doenças Infeciosas e Medicina Tropical, Hospital de Egas Moniz, Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
João AlvesServiço de Dermatovenereologia, Hospital Garcia de Orta, Almada, Portugal.
António SilvaServiço de Dermatovenereologia, Hospital Garcia de Orta, Almada, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0433-0352
Miguel AlpalhãoDermatology Department, Centro Hospitalar Universitário Lisboa Norte EPE, Lisbon, Portugal.
Cláudia BrazãoDermatology Department, Centro Hospitalar Universitário Lisboa Norte EPE, Lisbon, Portugal.
Diogo SousaDermatology Department, Centro Hospitalar Universitário Lisboa Norte EPE, Lisbon, Portugal.
Paulo FilipeDermatology Department, Centro Hospitalar Universitário Lisboa Norte EPE, Lisbon, Portugal.
Patrícia PachecoServiço de Infeciologia, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Amadora, Portugal.
Francesca PeruzzuServiço de Infeciologia, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Amadora, Portugal.
Rita Patrocínio de JesusServiço de Infeciologia, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Amadora, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5181-9305
Luís FerreiraServiço Infeciologia do CHUP, Largo Professor Abel Salazar, Porto, Portugal.
Josefina MendezServiço Infeciologia do CHUP, Largo Professor Abel Salazar, Porto, Portugal.
Sofia JordãoServiço de Doenças Infeciosas, Hospital Pedro Hispano - ULS Matosinhos, Matosinhos, Portugal.
Frederico DuarteServiço de Doenças Infeciosas, Hospital Pedro Hispano - ULS Matosinhos, Matosinhos, Portugal.
Maria João GonçalvesServiço de Doenças Infeciosas, Hospital Pedro Hispano - ULS Matosinhos, Matosinhos, Portugal.
Eduarda PenaServiço de Doenças Infeciosas, Hospital Pedro Hispano - ULS Matosinhos, Matosinhos, Portugal.
Claúdio Nunes SilvaServiço de Doenças Infeciosas, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de São João, Porto, Portugal.
André Rodrigues GuimarãesServiço de Doenças Infeciosas, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de São João, Porto, Portugal.
Margarida TavaresServiço de Doenças Infeciosas, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de São João, Porto, Portugal.
Graça FreitasNational Health Authority, Directorate-General of Health, Lisbon, Portugal.
Rita CordeiroEmergency Response and Biopreparedness Unit, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5321-3657
João Paulo GomesGenomics and Bioinformatics Unit, Department of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal. j.paulo.gomes@insa.min-saude.pt.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2697-2399

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Pathogen genome sequencing during epidemics enhances our ability to identify and understand suspected clusters and investigate their relationships. Here, we combine genomic and epidemiological data of the 2022 mpox outbreak to better understand early viral spread, diversification and transmission dynamics. By sequencing 52% of the confirmed cases in Portugal, we identified the mpox virus sublineages with the highest impact on case numbers and fitted them into a global context, finding evidence that several international sublineages probably emerged or spread early in Portugal. We estimated a 62% infection reporting rate and that 1.3% of the population of men who have sex with men in Portugal were infected. We infer the critical role played by sexual networks and superspreader gatherings, such as sauna attendance, in the dissemination of mpox virus. Overall, our findings highlight genomic epidemiology as a tool for the real-time monitoring and control of mpox epidemics, and can guide future vaccine policy in a highly susceptible population.

Indexed as

Mpox, MonkeypoxSexual and Gender MinoritiesCluster AnalysisDisease OutbreaksHomosexuality, MaleHumansMalePortugal

Identifiers

PMID37696933
PMCPMC10579057

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.