Antimalarial procurement in private-sector pharmaceutical outlets: decision-making complexities and implications for medicine quality in Tanzania.

Poor-quality medicines are a major threat to healthcare provision in low-income countries. The problem exacerbates disease vulnerabilities of already disadvantaged populations including children, women, and the elderly. However, while the higher-level structural drivers of this problem are well established, little is known about decision-making lower down pharmaceutical supply chains, and whether this might produce vulnerabilities for medicine quality. We conducted a mixed-methods study to explore retailer-supplier interactions and decision-making dynamics for antimalarial medicines in three regions of Tanzania: Tabora, Dodoma and Mbeya. A survey questionnaire was administered to 118 small scale-and mid-range retailers in urban and rural districts of the regions. We then conducted 12 in-depth interviews with staff and owners of medicine outlets in 2 districts of Tabora region to explore further the decision-making dynamics. Results show that private-sector retailers are driven first and foremost by business and economic practicalities when choosing a medicine supplier, prioritising low purchase price, free delivery, and availability of credit. Many also rely on suppliers with whom they have personal connections, developed either within or outside the business context. Medicine quality comes far lower down the list of priorities. These findings are perhaps not surprising in a context where businesses serving low-income customers are operating on very small margins. However, when price and personal connection eclipse any other considerations, there is a risk that poor-quality medicines may find their way into supply chains, especially in countries where regulatory capacity is limited, and pharmaceutical supply chains are complex and opaque.