Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37694263›Full record

ArticleProfessional psychology, research and practice2022

The Predicted Future of Psychotherapy: A Decennial e-Delphi Poll.

John C Norcross, Rory A Pfund, Danielle M Cook

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Professional psychology, research and practice, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Trial
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. The Predicted Future of Psychotherapy: A Decennial e-Delphi Poll.Professional psychology, research and practice · 2022
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Online/Cyber Counseling Services in the COVID-19 Outbreak: Are They Really New?The journal of pastoral care & counseling : JPCC · 2020
    Article
  16. A consolidated model for telepsychology practice.Journal of clinical psychology · 2020
    Review
  17. A Mixed-Method Modified Delphi Study toward Identifying Key Elements of Psychotherapy in Iran.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Clinical Virtual Reality: Emerging Opportunities for Psychiatry.Focus (American Psychiatric Publishing) · 2018
    Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

John C NorcrossDepartment of Psychology, University of Scranton.
Rory A PfundCenter on Alcohol, Substance use, And Addictions, University of New Mexico.
Danielle M CookDepartment of Psychology, University of Scranton.

Funding

Alcohol Research Training: Methods & MechanismsT32AA018108 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO · PI Katie A Witkiewitz · 2010 to 2026
$5.6M
NIAAA NIH HHS L30 AA029551NIAAA NIH HHS T32 AA018108
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Whither psychotherapy in the 2030s? Following a decennial tradition, the authors conducted an e-Delphi poll on the future of psychotherapy in the United States. A panel of 56 psychotherapy experts participated in two rounds of predictions and achieved consensus on most items. The experts forecast multicultural, mindfulness, and cognitive-behavior therapies to increase the most, whereas classical psychoanalysis, reality therapy, and gestalt therapy to decrease the most. Technological, relationship-building, strength-oriented, skill-building, and self-change interventions were expected to rise. Master-level clinicians of multiple professions were projected to expand while psychiatrists to decline in the proportion of psychotherapy rendered. Therapy platforms with the highest likelihood of flourishing were videoconferencing, texting, smartphone applications, and multiple or flexible platforms. Short-term therapy, crisis intervention, and very short-term therapy were predicted to increase the most. Forecast scenarios with the highest likelihood were therapy personalization, treatment of health problems, requirement of evidence-based practices for insurance reimbursement, and integration of psychotherapy into primary care. Limitations of the Delphi methodology are elucidated, and practice implications for health-service psychologists are advanced.

Indexed as

Delphi pollfuture of psychotherapypsychologistspsychotherapytheoretical orientations

Identifiers

PMID37694263
PMCPMC10485922

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.