Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37690575›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases2023

Estimates of the global burden of Congenital Rubella Syndrome, 1996-2019.

Emilia Vynnycky, Jennifer K Knapp, Timos Papadopoulos, Felicity T Cutts, Masahiko Hachiya, Shinsuke Miyano, Susan E Reef

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
6.4field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Emilia VynnyckyStatistics Modelling and Economics Department, United Kingdom Health Security Agency, London, UK; Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK; TB Modelling Group and Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK. Electronic address: emilia.vynnycky@ukhsa.gov.uk.
Jennifer K KnappGlobal Immunization Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Timos PapadopoulosStatistics Modelling and Economics Department, United Kingdom Health Security Agency, London, UK.
Felicity T CuttsDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Masahiko HachiyaBureau of International Health Cooperation, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Toyama, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan.
Shinsuke MiyanoBureau of International Health Cooperation, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Toyama, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan.
Susan E ReefGlobal Immunization Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · USNational Center for Global Health and Medicine · JPUniversity of London · GBNational Security Agency · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesMany countries introduced rubella-containing vaccination (RCV) after 2011, following changes in recommended World Health Organization (WHO) vaccination strategies and external support. We evaluated the impact of these introductions.

methodsWe estimated the country-specific, region-specific, and global Congenital Rubella Syndrome (CRS) incidence during 1996-2019 using mathematical modeling, including routine and campaign vaccination coverage and seroprevalence data.

resultsIn 2019, WHO African and Eastern Mediterranean regions had the highest estimated CRS incidence (64 [95% confidence intervals (CI): 24-123] and 27 [95% CI: 4-67] per 100,000 live births respectively), where nearly half of births occur in countries that have introduced RCV. Other regions, where >95% of births occurred in countries that had introduced RCV, had a low estimated CRS incidence (<1 [95% CI: <1 to 8] and <1 [95% CI: <1 to 12] per 100,000 live births in South-East Asia [SEAR] and the Western Pacific [WPR] respectively, and similarly in Europe and the Americas). The estimated number of CRS births globally declined by approximately two-thirds during 2010-2019, from 100,000 (95% CI: 54,000-166,000) to 32,000 (95% CI: 13,000-60,000), representing a 73% reduction since 1996, largely following RCV introductions in WPR and SEAR, where the greatest reductions occurred.

conclusionsFurther reductions can occur by introducing RCV in remaining countries and maintaining high RCV coverage.

Indexed as

RubellaRubella Syndrome, CongenitalHumansRubella VaccineSeroepidemiologic StudiesVaccinationWorld Health OrganizationRubella VaccineCongenital Rubella SyndromeMathematical modelingMeasles-rubella vaccineRubellaSeroprevalence

Identifiers

PMID37690575
PMCPMC10689248
OpenAlexW4386570207

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.