Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37689662›Full record

ArticleRespiratory research2023

A prognostic model for systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension: CSTAR-PAH cohort study.

Jingge Qu, Mengtao Li, Xiao Zhang, Miaojia Zhang, Xiaoxia Zuo, Ping Zhu, Shuang Ye, Wei Zhang, Yi Zheng, Wufang Qi and 14 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Respiratory research, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07653958 (Research on the Clinical Risk Factor Assessment System for Acute Pulmonary Hypertension Crisis and Its Mortality), which is not on this map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07653958 recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Research on the Clinical Risk Factor Assessment System for Acute Pulmonary Hypertension Crisis and Its Mortality

TypeobservationalSponsorPeking Union Medical College HospitalRan2026 to 2029Enrolled5,000ConditionsPulmonary Hypertension, Pulmonary Hypertension Crisis
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Journal of preventive medicine and hygiene · 2026
    Article
  4. RareInnovation (Cambridge (Mass.)) · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors at 15 institutions in 1 country.

Jingge QuDepartment of Rheumatology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital (PUMCH), Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, National Clinical Research Center for Dermatologic and Immunologic Diseases (NCRC-DID), Ministry of Science & Technology, Key Laboratory of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, Ministry of Education, State Key Laboratory of Complex Severe and Rare Diseases, Ministry of Science and Technology, No. 1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing Ave, Beijing, 100730, China.
Mengtao LiDepartment of Rheumatology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital (PUMCH), Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, National Clinical Research Center for Dermatologic and Immunologic Diseases (NCRC-DID), Ministry of Science & Technology, Key Laboratory of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, Ministry of Education, State Key Laboratory of Complex Severe and Rare Diseases, Ministry of Science and Technology, No. 1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing Ave, Beijing, 100730, China. mengtao.li@cstar.org.cn.
Xiao ZhangDepartment of Rheumatology, Guangdong General Hospital, Guangzhou, China.
Miaojia ZhangDepartment of Rheumatology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Xiaoxia ZuoDepartment of Rheumatology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China.
Ping ZhuDepartment of Clinical Immunology, PLA Specialized Research Institute of Rheumatology and Immunology, Xijing Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Shuang YeDepartment of Rheumatology, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Ren Ji Hospital South Campus, Shanghai, China.
Wei ZhangDepartment of Rheumatology, School of Medicine, Ren Ji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
Yi ZhengDepartment of Rheumatology, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Wufang QiDepartment of Rheumatology, The First Central Hospital, Tianjin, China.
Yang LiDepartment of Rheumatology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
Zhuoli ZhangDepartment of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China.
Feng DingDepartment of Rheumatology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Jieruo GuDepartment of Rheumatology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Yi LiuDepartment of Rheumatology and Immunology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Junyan QianDepartment of Rheumatology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital (PUMCH), Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, National Clinical Research Center for Dermatologic and Immunologic Diseases (NCRC-DID), Ministry of Science & Technology, Key Laboratory of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, Ministry of Education, State Key Laboratory of Complex Severe and Rare Diseases, Ministry of Science and Technology, No. 1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing Ave, Beijing, 100730, China.
Can HuangDepartment of Rheumatology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital (PUMCH), Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, National Clinical Research Center for Dermatologic and Immunologic Diseases (NCRC-DID), Ministry of Science & Technology, Key Laboratory of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, Ministry of Education, State Key Laboratory of Complex Severe and Rare Diseases, Ministry of Science and Technology, No. 1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing Ave, Beijing, 100730, China.
Jiuliang ZhaoDepartment of Rheumatology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital (PUMCH), Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, National Clinical Research Center for Dermatologic and Immunologic Diseases (NCRC-DID), Ministry of Science & Technology, Key Laboratory of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, Ministry of Education, State Key Laboratory of Complex Severe and Rare Diseases, Ministry of Science and Technology, No. 1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing Ave, Beijing, 100730, China.
Qian WangDepartment of Rheumatology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital (PUMCH), Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, National Clinical Research Center for Dermatologic and Immunologic Diseases (NCRC-DID), Ministry of Science & Technology, Key Laboratory of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, Ministry of Education, State Key Laboratory of Complex Severe and Rare Diseases, Ministry of Science and Technology, No. 1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing Ave, Beijing, 100730, China.
Yongtai LiuDepartment of Cardiology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, State Key Laboratory of Complex Severe and Rare Diseases, Ministry of Science & Technology, Beijing, China.
Zhuang TianDepartment of Cardiology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, State Key Laboratory of Complex Severe and Rare Diseases, Ministry of Science & Technology, Beijing, China.
Yanhong WangDepartment of Epidemiology and Bio-Statistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, China Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Wei WeiDepartment of Rheumatology, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, No. 154 Anshan Street, Tianjin, 300052, China. tjweiwei2003@163.com.
Xiaofeng ZengDepartment of Rheumatology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital (PUMCH), Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, National Clinical Research Center for Dermatologic and Immunologic Diseases (NCRC-DID), Ministry of Science & Technology, Key Laboratory of Rheumatology and Clinical Immunology, Ministry of Education, State Key Laboratory of Complex Severe and Rare Diseases, Ministry of Science and Technology, No. 1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing Ave, Beijing, 100730, China. zengxfpumc@163.com.
Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College · CNPeking Union Medical College Hospital · CNPeking University · CNShanghai Jiao Tong University · CNBeijing Chao-Yang Hospital · CNGuangdong General Hospital · CNJiangsu Province Hospital · CNQilu Hospital of Shandong University · CNSecond Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University · CNThird Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University · CNTianjin Medical University · CNTianjin Medical University General Hospital · CNWest China Hospital of Sichuan University · CNXiangya Hospital Central South University · CNXijing Hospital · CN

Funding

Beijing Municipal Science & Technology Commission No.Z201100005520022,23, 25-27CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS) 2021-I2M-1-005Chinese National Key Technology R&D Program, Ministry of Science and Technology 2021YFC2501300National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding 2022-PUMCH-B-013, C-002, D-009National Natural Science Foundation of China 81900054National Natural Science Foundation of China 82241019National Natural Science Foundation of China 82271855
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPulmonary arterial hypertension is a major cause of death in systemic lupus erythematosus, but there are no tools specialized for predicting survival in systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension. RESEARCH QUESTION: To develop a practical model for predicting long-term prognosis in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension.

methodsA prognostic model was developed from a multicenter, longitudinal national cohort of consecutively evaluated patients with systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension. The study was conducted between November 2006 and February 2020. All-cause death was defined as the endpoint. Cox regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operators were used to fit the model. Internal validation of the model was assessed by discrimination and calibration using bootstrapping.

resultsOf 310 patients included in the study, 81 (26.1%) died within a median follow-up of 5.94 years (interquartile range 4.67-7.46). The final prognostic model included eight variables: modified World Health Organization functional class, 6-min walking distance, pulmonary vascular resistance, estimated glomerular filtration rate, thrombocytopenia, mild interstitial lung disease, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide/brain natriuretic peptide level, and direct bilirubin level. A 5-year death probability predictive algorithm was established and validated using the C-index (0.77) and a satisfactory calibration curve. Risk stratification was performed based on the predicted probability to improve clinical decision-making.

conclusionsThis new risk stratification model for systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension may provide individualized prognostic probability using readily obtained clinical risk factors. External validation is required to demonstrate the accuracy of this model's predictions in diverse patient populations.

Indexed as

Hypertension, PulmonaryLupus Erythematosus, SystemicPulmonary Arterial HypertensionCohort StudiesFamilial Primary Pulmonary HypertensionHumansPrognosisPrognosisPulmonary arterial hypertensionRisk stratificationSystemic lupus erythematosus

Identifiers

PMID37689662
PMCPMC10492375
OpenAlexW4386572673

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.