ArticleScience advances2023
Observational and model evidence together support wide-spread exposure to noncompensable heat under continued global warming.
Article in Science advances, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed.
- HomoTherm: An Open-Source Approach to Modelling Heat Exchange in Humans and Other Hominins in Diverse Environments.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Asymmetric global urban cooling potential demands accelerated and context-specific actions.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Urban warming reshapes the safe outdoor activity opportunity window: dual-metric evidence from Heat Risk Hours and PAO.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Overheated and Understudied: A Scoping Review of Heat-Related Health Impacts in the Arabian Peninsula.GeoHealth · 2025Review
- Ten new insights in climate science 2024.One earth (Cambridge, Mass.) · 2025Review
- Daily rainfall variability controls humid heatwaves in the global tropics and subtropics.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Validating new limits for human thermoregulation.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Heat disproportionately kills young people: Evidence from wet-bulb temperature in Mexico.Science advances · 2024Article
- Global health 2050: the path to halving premature death by mid-century.Lancet (London, England) · 2024Review
- Aligning thermal physiology and biometeorological research for heat adaptation and resilience in a changing climate.Journal of applied physiology (Bethesda, Md. : 1985) · 2024Article
- Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950-2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.Lancet (London, England) · 2024Article
- Closer limits to human tolerance of global heat.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
As our planet warms, a critical research question is when and where temperatures will exceed the limits of what the human body can tolerate. Past modeling efforts have investigated the 35°C wet-bulb threshold, proposed as a theoretical upper limit to survivability taking into account physiological and behavioral adaptation. Here, we conduct an extreme value theory analysis of weather station observations and climate model projections to investigate the emergence of an empirically supported heat compensability limit. We show that the hottest parts of the world already experience these heat extremes on a limited basis and that under moderate continued warming parts of every continent, except Antarctica, will see a rapid increase in their extent and frequency. To conclude, we discuss the consequences of the emergence of this noncompensable heat and the need for incorporating different critical thermal limits into heat adaptation planning.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.