Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37682940›Full record

ArticlePloS one2023

Risk factors for the progression to multimorbidity among UK urban working-age adults. A community cohort study.

Anne L Stagg, Lisa Harber-Aschan, Stephani L Hatch, Nicola T Fear, Sarah Dorrington, Ira Madan, Sharon A M Stevelink

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Anne L StaggDepartment of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6959-9689
Lisa Harber-AschanDepartment of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
Stephani L HatchDepartment of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
Nicola T FearAcademic Department of Military Mental Health, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
Sarah DorringtonDepartment of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
Ira MadanDepartment of Occupational Health, Guy's and St Thomas' Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.
Sharon A M StevelinkDepartment of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.

Funding

Department of Health NIHR300592
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe progression of long-term conditions (LTCs) from zero-to-one (initiation), and from one-to-many (progression)are common trajectories that impact a person's quality of life including their ability to work. This study aimed to explore the demographic, socioeconomic, psychosocial, and health-related determinants of LTC initiation and progression, with a focus on work participation.

methodsData from 622 working-age adults who had completed two waves (baseline and follow-up) of the South-East London Community Health survey were analysed. Chi square tests and multinomial logistic regression were used to describe the associations between self-reported demographic, socioeconomic, psychosocial, and health-related variables, and the progression of LTCs.

resultsSmall social networks, an increased number of stressful life events, low self-rated health, functional impairment, and increased somatic symptom severity were all associated with both the progression from zero-to-one LTC and from one LTC to multimorbidity (two or more LTCs). Renting accommodation (RRR 1.73 [95% CI 1.03-2.90]), smoking (RRR 1.91 [95% CI 1.16-3.14]) and being overweight (RRR 1.88 [95% CL 1.12-3.16]) were unique risk factors of developing initial LTCs, whereas low income (RRR 2.53 [95% CI 1.11-5.80]), working part-time (RRR 2.82 ([95% CL 1.12-7.10]), being unemployed (RRR 4.83 [95% CI 1.69-13.84]), and making an early work exit (RRR 16.86 [95% CI 3.99-71.30]) all increased the risk of progressing from one LTC to multimorbidity compared to being employed full-time. At follow-up, depression was the most prevalent LTC in the unemployed group whereas musculoskeletal conditions were the most prevalent in those working.

conclusionsThe journey to multimorbidity is complex, with both common and unique risk factors. Non-full-time employment was associated with an increased risk of progression to multimorbidity. Future research should explore the risk and benefit pathways between employment and progression of LTCs. Interventions to prevent progression of LTCs should include mitigation of modifiable risk factors such as social isolation.

Indexed as

MultimorbidityQuality of LifeAdultCohort StudiesHumansLondonRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID37682940
PMCPMC10490989

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.