ArticleNature communications2023
Impacts of marine heatwaves on top predator distributions are variable but predictable.
Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.
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Who cites it
23 citing papers in PubMed.
- Estimating the total mortality of seabirds following a marine heat wave.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2026Article
- Marine heatwaves suppress nutrient utilization and reproductive flexibility in humpback whales.iScience · 2026Article
- Parrotfish demonstrate little behavioural shift during marine heatwaves.Biology letters · 2026Article
- A Trait-Based Approach to Studying Animal Movement Responses to Extreme Events.Global change biology · 2026Review
- Leveraging biologgers to better forecast animal movement and range shifts across scales.BMC zoology · 2026Article
- Marine heatwaves are transforming Western mediterranean marine ecosystems.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Major heat wave in the North Atlantic had widespread and lasting impacts on marine life.Science advances · 2026Review
- Fishing fleets as ecosystem sentinels.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Climate-driven shifts in marine habitat explain recent declines of Japanese Chum salmon.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Comparative analysis of machine learning approaches for heatwave event prediction in India.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Climate change impacts to foraging seascapes for a highly migratory top predator.Movement ecology · 2025Article
- Multi-Species Telemetry Quantifies Current and Future Efficacy of a Remote Marine Protected Area.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Article
- Two decades of three-dimensional movement data from adult female northern elephant seals.Scientific data · 2024Article
- The massive 2016 marine heatwave in the Southwest Pacific: An "El Niño-Madden-Julian Oscillation" compound event.Science advances · 2024Article
- Article
- Female, juvenile, and calf sperm whaleEcology and evolution · 2024Article
- A quantitative assessment of continuous versus structured methods for the detection of marine mammals and seabirds via opportunistic shipboard surveys.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Global impacts of marine heatwaves on coastal foundation species.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Unseen overlap between fishing vessels and top predators in the northeast Pacific.Science advances · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
22 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Marine heatwaves cause widespread environmental, biological, and socio-economic impacts, placing them at the forefront of 21st-century management challenges. However, heatwaves vary in intensity and evolution, and a paucity of information on how this variability impacts marine species limits our ability to proactively manage for these extreme events. Here, we model the effects of four recent heatwaves (2014, 2015, 2019, 2020) in the Northeastern Pacific on the distributions of 14 top predator species of ecological, cultural, and commercial importance. Predicted responses were highly variable across species and heatwaves, ranging from near total loss of habitat to a two-fold increase. Heatwaves rapidly altered political bio-geographies, with up to 10% of predicted habitat across all species shifting jurisdictions during individual heatwaves. The variability in predicted responses across species and heatwaves portends the need for novel management solutions that can rapidly respond to extreme climate events. As proof-of-concept, we developed an operational dynamic ocean management tool that predicts predator distributions and responses to extreme conditions in near real-time.
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