Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37669249›Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2023

Population health impact, cost-effectiveness, and affordability of community-based HIV treatment and monitoring in South Africa: A health economics modelling study.

Maitreyi Sahu, Cara J Bayer, D Allen Roberts, Heidi van Rooyen, Alastair van Heerden, Maryam Shahmanesh, Stephen Asiimwe, Kombi Sausi, Nsika Sithole, Roger Ying and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLOS global public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Maitreyi SahuDepartment of Health Metrics Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1593-0193
Cara J BayerDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America.
D Allen RobertsDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3660-6330
Heidi van RooyenHuman Sciences Research Council, Western Cape, South Africa.
Alastair van HeerdenSAMRC/WITS Developmental Pathways for Health Research Unit, Department of Paediatrics, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa.
Maryam ShahmaneshAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Stephen AsiimweIntegrated Community-Based Initiatives, Kabwohe, Uganda.
Kombi SausiHuman Sciences Research Council, Western Cape, South Africa.
Nsika SitholeAfrica Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.
Roger YingSchool of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0380-3197
Darcy W RaoDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America.
Meighan L KrowsDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0321-9203
Adrienne E ShapiroDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America.
Jared M BaetenDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America.
Connie CelumDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America.
Paul RevillUniversity of York, York, United Kingdom.
Ruanne V BarnabasDivision of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1793-6003

Funding

NCCIH Supplement to NCATS/CTSA Program for KL2 Scholars - M. SoddersKL2TR002317 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI Christy Michelle McKinney · 2017 to 2026
$14.5M
Comparative Modeling to Inform Cervical Cancer Control Policies: USPSTF SupplementU01CA253912 · NCI · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI BARNABAS, RUANNE VANESSA, CANFELL, KAREN · 2020 to 2024
$7.9M
Novel clinic-based TB diagnostics and testing algorithms for persons with HIVK23AI140918 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI SHAPIRO, ADRIENNE E · 2019 to 2024
$937k
NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR002317NCI NIH HHS U01 CA253912NIAID NIH HHS K23 AI140918
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Community-based delivery and monitoring of antiretroviral therapy (ART) for HIV has the potential to increase viral suppression for individual- and population-level health benefits. However, the cost-effectiveness and budget impact are needed for public health policy. We used a mathematical model of HIV transmission in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, to estimate population prevalence, incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) from 2020 to 2060 for two scenarios: 1) standard clinic-based HIV care and 2) five-yearly home testing campaigns with community ART for people not reached by clinic-based care. We parameterised model scenarios using observed community-based ART efficacy. Using a health system perspective, we evaluated incremental cost-effectiveness and net health benefits using a threshold of $750/DALY averted. In a sensitivity analysis, we varied the discount rate; time horizon; costs for clinic and community ART, hospitalisation, and testing; and the proportion of the population receiving community ART. Uncertainty ranges (URs) were estimated across 25 best-fitting parameter sets. By 2060, community ART following home testing averted 27.9% (UR: 24.3-31.5) of incident HIV infections, 27.8% (26.8-28.8) of HIV-related deaths, and 18.7% (17.9-19.7) of DALYs compared to standard of care. Adolescent girls and young women aged 15-24 years experienced the greatest reduction in incident HIV (30.7%, 27.1-34.7). In the first five years (2020-2024), community ART required an additional $44.9 million (35.8-50.1) annually, representing 14.3% (11.4-16.0) of the annual HIV budget. The cost per DALY averted was $102 (85-117) for community ART compared with standard of care. Providing six-monthly refills instead of quarterly refills further increased cost-effectiveness to $78.5 per DALY averted (62.9-92.8). Cost-effectiveness was robust to sensitivity analyses. In a high-prevalence setting, scale-up of decentralised ART dispensing and monitoring can provide large population health benefits and is cost-effective in preventing death and disability due to HIV.

Identifiers

PMID37669249
PMCPMC10479912

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.