Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37660053›Full record

ArticleJournal of translational medicine2023

Association between 5-year change in cardiovascular risk and the incidence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases: a multi-cohort study.

Jiayi Yi, Lili Wang, Xinli Guo, Xiangpeng Ren

Open access · goldAbstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of translational medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Observational
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jiayi Yi *Department of Cardiology, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China.
Lili Wang *Department of Cardiology, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China.
Xinli GuoDepartment of Cardiology, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China.
Xiangpeng RenDepartment of Biochemistry, Medical College, Jiaxing University, No.899 Guangqiong Road, Jiaxing, 314001, Zhejiang, China. renxpeng@mail3.sysu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5212-7749
Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College · CNJiaxing University · CN

Funding

Institute for Clinical and Translational ResearchUL1TR001079 · NCATS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI FORD, DANIEL ERNEST · 2013 to 2017
$60.1M
Exceptional Survival: Trajectories to Functional Aging (CHS All Stars)R01AG023629 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI NEWMAN, ANNE B. · 2004 to 2016
$9.5M
CHS research resources for the cardiovascular health of older adultsU01HL130114 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI BURKE, GREGORY L, KRONMAL, RICHARD A · 2016 to 2019
$6.6M
CHS Events Follow-up StudyR01HL080295 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI PSATY, BRUCE M · 2009 to 2014
$6.3M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001079NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268200800007CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268200900041CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201200036CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201300025CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201300026CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201300027CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201300028CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201300029CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201300046CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201300047CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201300048CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201300049CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201300050CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500001INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500003INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700001INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700002INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700003INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700004INHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201700005INHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL080295NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL130114NIA NIH HHS R01 AG023629
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe influence of the historical cardiovascular risk status on future risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is poorly understood. We aimed to investigate the association between 5-year changes in cardiovascular risk and ASCVD incidence.

methodsWe analyzed pooled data from seven community-based prospective cohort studies with up to 20 years of follow-up data. The study populations included White or Black participants aged 40-75 years without prevalent ASCVD. Cardiovascular risk was assessed using the pooled cohort equation and was categorized into non-high (< 20%) or high risk (≥ 20%). Changes in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk over a 5-year interval were recorded. The main outcome was incident ASCVD.

resultsAmong 11,026 participants (mean [SD] age, 60.0 [8.1] years), 4272 (38.7%) were female and 3127 (28.4%) were Black. During a median follow-up period of 9.9 years, 2560 (23.2%) ASCVD events occurred. In comparison with individuals showing a consistently high CVD risk, participants whose CVD risk changed from non-high to high (hazard ratio [HR], 0.67; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.59-0.77) or high to non-high (HR, 0.57; 95% CI 0.41-0.80) and those with a consistently non-high risk (HR, 0.33; 95% CI 0.29-0.37) had a lower risk of incident ASCVD. In comparison with individuals showing a consistently non-high CVD risk, participants whose CVD risk changed from high to non-high (HR, 1.74; 95% CI 1.26-2.41) or from non-high to high risk (HR, 2.04; 95% CI 1.84-2.27) and those with a consistently high risk (HR 3.03; 95% CI 2.69-3.42) also showed an increased risk of incident ASCVD.

conclusionsIndividuals with the same current CVD risk status but different historical CVD risks exhibited varying risks of future ASCVD incidents. Dynamic risk evaluation may enable more accurate cardiovascular risk stratification, and decision-making regarding preventive interventions should take the historical risk status into account.

Indexed as

AtherosclerosisCardiovascular DiseasesCohort StudiesFemaleHeart Disease Risk FactorsHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk FactorsAtherosclerotic cardiovascular diseaseCardiovascular riskInterventionsPrimary prevention

Identifiers

PMID37660053
PMCPMC10475181
OpenAlexW4386388051

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.