Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37658086›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Last glacial hydroclimate variability in the Yucatán Peninsula not just driven by ITCZ shifts.

Leah Travis-Taylor, Martín Medina-Elizalde, Ambarish V Karmalkar, Josué Polanco-Martinez, Gabriela Serrato Marks, Stephen Burns, Fernanda Lases-Hernández, David McGee

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Leah Travis-TaylorDepartment of Earth, Geographic, and Climate Sciences, UMass Amherst, Amherst, MA, USA. ltravistaylo@umass.edu.
Martín Medina-ElizaldeDepartment of Earth, Geographic, and Climate Sciences, UMass Amherst, Amherst, MA, USA.
Ambarish V KarmalkarDepartment of Geosciences, University of Rhode Island, Kingston, RI, USA.
Josué Polanco-MartinezGECOS-IME, Campus Miguel Unamuno, Edificio FES, Salamanca, and Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3), University of Salamanca, Leioa, Spain.
Gabriela Serrato MarksDepartment of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, MIT, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Stephen BurnsDepartment of Earth, Geographic, and Climate Sciences, UMass Amherst, Amherst, MA, USA.
Fernanda Lases-HernándezCentro de Geociencias, UNAM Campus, Blvd. Juriquilla 3001, 76230, Juriquilla, Mexico.
David McGeeDepartment of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, MIT, Cambridge, MA, USA.

Funding

Junta de Castilla y León and European Regional Development Fund CLU-2019-03National Science Foundation AGS-2102983
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We reconstructed hydroclimate variability in the Yucatán Peninsula (YP) based on stalagmite oxygen and carbon isotope records from a well-studied cave system located in the northeastern YP, a region strongly influenced by Caribbean climate dynamics. The new stalagmite isotopic records span the time interval between 43 and 26.6 ka BP, extending a previously published record from the same cave system covering the interval between 26.5 and 23.2 ka BP. Stalagmite stable isotope records show dominant decadal and multidecadal variability, and weaker variability on millennial timescales. These records suggest significant precipitation declines in the broader Caribbean region during Heinrich events 4 and 3 of ice-rafted discharge into the North Atlantic, in agreement with the antiphase pattern of precipitation variability across the equator suggested by previous studies. On millennial timescales, the stalagmite isotope records do not show the distinctive saw-tooth pattern of climate variability observed in Greenland during Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events, but a pattern similar to North Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST) variability. We propose that shifts in the mean position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), per se, are not the dominant driver of last glacial hydroclimate variability in the YP on millennial timescales but instead that North Atlantic SSTs played a dominant role. Our results support a negative climate feedback mechanism whereby large low latitude precipitation deficits resulting from AMOC slowdown would lead to elevated salinity in the Caribbean and ultimately help reactivate AMOC and Caribbean precipitation. However, because of the unique drivers of future climate in the region, predicted twenty-first century YP precipitation reductions are unlikely to be modulated by this negative feedback mechanism.

Identifiers

PMID37658086
PMCPMC10474098

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.