Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37646734›Full record

ArticleRevista brasileira de epidemiologia = Brazilian journal of epidemiology2023

Temporal and spatial distribution of polio vaccine coverage in Brazil between 1997 and 2021.

Nathanael de Souza Maciel, Hévila Medeiros Ferreira Gomes Braga, Francisca Jessika Nunes de Moura, Francisco Jardsom Moura Luzia, Isabelle E Silva Sousa, Emilia Soares Chaves Rouberte

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Revista brasileira de epidemiologia = Brazilian journal of epidemiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. HIV prevalence among persons deprived of liberty in Brazil, 2017-2023: a time series analysis.Epidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Nathanael de Souza MacielUniversidade Estadual do Ceará, Health Sciences Center - Fortaleza (CE), Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5088-011X
Hévila Medeiros Ferreira Gomes BragaUniversidade da Integração Internacional da Lusofonia Afro-Brasileira, Health Sciences Institute - Redenção (CE), Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4188-2882
Francisca Jessika Nunes de MouraUniversidade Estadual do Ceará, Health Sciences Center - Fortaleza (CE), Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2622-9949
Francisco Jardsom Moura LuziaUniversidade da Integração Internacional da Lusofonia Afro-Brasileira, Health Sciences Institute - Redenção (CE), Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8386-6103
Isabelle E Silva SousaUniversidade da Integração Internacional da Lusofonia Afro-Brasileira, Health Sciences Institute - Redenção (CE), Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3387-6722
Emilia Soares Chaves RouberteUniversidade da Integração Internacional da Lusofonia Afro-Brasileira, Health Sciences Institute - Redenção (CE), Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9758-7853

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo analyze the temporal and spatial distribution of polio vaccine coverage in Brazilian states.

methodsAn ecological time series study was conducted using data from the National Immunization Program Information System. The analyzed period was from 1997 to 2021. Joinpoint software was used to calculate the annual percentage change and average annual percentage change through regressions. QGIS 3.10.7 software was used to construct thematic maps. GeoDa 1.20.0.10 software was used to estimate spatial autocorrelation using the Global Moran's Index and Local Moran's Index.

resultsNational vaccine coverage in 1997 was 89.27%, decreasing to 61.32% in 2021. The trend analysis indicated an average annual decrease of 1.5% in polio vaccine coverage in Brazil. Across the country, 17 states showed a statistically significant reduction in the average annual percentage change rate. The highest average reduction rates in vaccine coverage among Brazilian states were observed in Amapá (-3.7%; 95%CI -6.0; -1.4) and Pernambuco (-3.3%; 95%CI -4.0; -2.5). In the spatial analysis, in Moran Global, a positive autocorrelation was identified in the years 2012 to 2021 (p<0.02), with an index value of 0.361, which means that geographically close areas tended to have similar levels of vaccination coverage.

conclusionThere was significant heterogeneity in coverage among states and a strong decrease trend in vaccination rates, which could facilitate the circulation of the poliovirus and pose a threat to the susceptible population.

Indexed as

PoliomyelitisVaccinationBrazilHumansImmunization ProgramsSpatio-Temporal AnalysisVaccination Coverage

Identifiers

PMID37646734
PMCPMC10470251

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.