Geospatial Assessment of Racial/Ethnic Composition, Social Vulnerability, and Lead Water Service Lines in New York City.

backgroundThe state of New York expects to receive

objectivesOur objective was to determine the number and proportion of potential lead water service lines across New York City (NYC) and to evaluate the association between census tract-level racial/ethnic composition, housing vulnerability, and child lead exposure vulnerability with service line type (Potential Lead, Unknown) for

methodsWe conducted a descriptive analysis assessing water service line material recorded in the NYC Department of Environmental Protection's Lead Service Line Location Coordinates database. We used conditional autoregressive Bayesian Poisson models to assess the relative risk [RR; median posterior estimates, and 95% credible interval (CrI)] of service line type per 20% higher proportion of residents in a given racial/ethnic group and per higher housing vulnerability and child lead exposure vulnerability index scores corresponding to the interquartile range. We also evaluated the associations in flexible natural cubic spline models.

resultsOut of 854,672 residential service line records, 136,891 (16.0%) were Potential Lead, and 227,443 (26.6%) were Unknown. In fully adjusted models, higher proportions of Hispanic/Latino residents and higher child lead exposure vulnerability were associated with Potential Lead service lines in flexible spline models and linear models [ DISCUSSION: NYC has a high number of Potential Lead and Unknown water service lines. Communities with a high proportion of Hispanic/Latino residents and those with children who are already highly vulnerable to lead exposures from numerous sources are disproportionately impacted by Potential Lead service lines. These findings can inform equitable service line replacement across New York state and NYC. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP12276.