Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37642245›Full record

ArticleAnnals of botany2023

Atmospheric CO2 decline and the timing of CAM plant evolution.

Rowan F Sage, Ian S Gilman, J Andrew C Smith, Katia Silvera, Erika J Edwards

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of botany, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
15.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Synthetic crassulacean acid metabolism (SynCAM) for improving water-use efficiency in plants.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Review
  9. The CAM lineages of planet Earth.Annals of botany · 2023
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Rowan F SageDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Toronto, 25 Willcocks Street, Toronto, ON, M5S 3B2, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-6183-9246
Ian S GilmanDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06511, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0390-9370
J Andrew C SmithDepartment of Biology, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford, OX1 3RB, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9188-0258
Katia SilveraDepartment of Botany and Plant Sciences, University of California, Riverside, CA 92521, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3898-6525
Erika J EdwardsDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06511, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0515-2778
Yale University · USUniversity of California, Riverside · USUniversity of Oxford · GBUniversity of Toronto · CA

Funding

National Science Foundation IOS-1754662Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada Discovery RGPIN-2017-06476
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsCAM photosynthesis is hypothesized to have evolved in atmospheres of low CO2 concentration in recent geological time because of its ability to concentrate CO2 around Rubisco and boost water use efficiency relative to C3 photosynthesis. We assess this hypothesis by compiling estimates of when CAM clades arose using phylogenetic chronograms for 73 CAM clades. We further consider evidence of how atmospheric CO2 affects CAM relative to C3 photosynthesis.

resultsWhere CAM origins can be inferred, strong CAM is estimated to have appeared in the past 30 million years in 46 of 48 examined clades, after atmospheric CO2 had declined from high (near 800 ppm) to lower (<450 ppm) values. In turn, 21 of 25 clades containing CAM species (but where CAM origins are less certain) also arose in the past 30 million years. In these clades, CAM is probably younger than the clade origin. We found evidence for repeated weak CAM evolution during the higher CO2 conditions before 30 million years ago, and possible strong CAM origins in the Crassulaceae during the Cretaceous period prior to atmospheric CO2 decline. Most CAM-specific clades arose in the past 15 million years, in a similar pattern observed for origins of C4 clades.

conclusionsThe evidence indicates strong CAM repeatedly evolved in reduced CO2 conditions of the past 30 million years. Weaker CAM can pre-date low CO2 and, in the Crassulaceae, strong CAM may also have arisen in water-limited microsites under relatively high CO2. Experimental evidence from extant CAM species demonstrates that elevated CO2 reduces the importance of nocturnal CO2 fixation by increasing the contribution of C3 photosynthesis to daily carbon gain. Thus, the advantage of strong CAM would be reduced in high CO2, such that its evolution appears less likely and restricted to more extreme environments than possible in low CO2.

Indexed as

Carbon DioxidePhotosynthesisPlantsPhylogenyWaterCarbon DioxideWaterCAM photosynthesisdrought adaptationhydraulic luxury consumptionlow atmospheric CO2MioceneOligocenephotosynthetic evolutionsucculence

Identifiers

PMID37642245
PMCPMC10799994
OpenAlexW4386246335

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.