Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37641730›Full record

ArticleClimatic change2023

Climate change amplified the 2009 extreme landslide event in Austria.

Aditya N Mishra, Douglas Maraun, Raphael Knevels, Heimo Truhetz, Alexander Brenning, Herwig Proske

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Climatic change, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
9.0field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Aditya N MishraWegener Centre for Climate and Global Change, University of Graz, Graz, Austria.ORCID 0000-0003-1570-8055
Douglas MaraunWegener Centre for Climate and Global Change, University of Graz, Graz, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-4076-0456
Raphael KnevelsFriedrich Schiller University Jena, Department of Geography, Jena, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-5094-7206
Heimo TruhetzWegener Centre for Climate and Global Change, University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Alexander BrenningFriedrich Schiller University Jena, Department of Geography, Jena, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-6640-679X
Herwig ProskeRemote Sensing and Geoinformation Department, JOANNEUM RESEARCH, Graz, Austria.
University of Graz · ATFriedrich Schiller University Jena · DEJoanneum Research · AT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Landslides are an important natural hazard in mountainous regions. Given the triggering and preconditioning by meteorological conditions, it is known that landslide risk may change in a warming climate, but whether climate change has already affected individual landslide events is still an open question, partly owing to landslide data limitations and methodological challenges in climate impact attribution. Here, we demonstrate the substantial influence of anthropogenic climate change on a severe event in the southeastern Alpine forelands with some estimated 952 individual landslides in June 2009. Our study is based on conditional event attribution complemented by an assessment of changes in atmospheric circulation. Using this approach, we simulate the meteorological event under observed and a range of counterfactual conditions of no climate change and explicitly predict the landslide occurrence probability for these conditions. We find that up to 10%, i.e., 95 landslides, can be attributed to climate change.

Indexed as

AttributionClimate changeExtreme rainfallLandslide

Identifiers

PMID37641730
PMCPMC10460372
OpenAlexW4386193879

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.