Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37641552›Full record

SynthesisEuropean stroke journal2023

Predicting risk of AF in ischaemic stroke using sinus rhythm ECG abnormalities: A meta-analysis.

Alexander Berry-Noronha, Luke Bonavia, Duncan Wilson, Antti Eranti, Maria Uggen Rasmussen, Ahmad Sajadieh, Fabienne Kreimer, Michael Gotzmann, Ramesh Sahathevan

Open access · hybridAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in European stroke journal, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 7 institutions in 5 countries.

Alexander Berry-NoronhaChristchurch Hospital, Christchurch, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0003-4189-5157
Luke BonaviaRoyal Hobart Hospital, Hobart, TAS, Australia.
Duncan WilsonNew Zealand Brain Research Institute, Christchurch, New Zealand.
Antti ErantiHeart Center, Central Hospital of North Karelia, Joensuu, Finland.
Maria Uggen RasmussenDepartment of Cardiology, Copenhagen University Hospital of Bispebjerg, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Ahmad SajadiehDepartment of Cardiology, Copenhagen University Hospital of Bispebjerg, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Fabienne KreimerCardiology and Rhythmology, University Hospital St Josef Hospital, Ruhr University, Bochum, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-1400-6254
Michael GotzmannCardiology and Rhythmology, University Hospital St Josef Hospital, Ruhr University, Bochum, Germany.
Ramesh SahathevanBallarat Base Hospital, Ballarat, VIC, Australia.
Bispebjerg Hospital · DKSt. Josef-Hospital · DEChristchurch Hospital · NZDeakin University · AUNew Zealand Brain Research Institute · NZNorth Karelia Central Hospital · FIRoyal Hobart Hospital · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo identify ECG changes in sinus rhythm that may be used to predict subsequent development of new AF.

methodWe identified prospective and retrospective cohort or case control studies evaluating ECG patterns from a 12-lead ECG in sinus rhythm taken in hospital or community predicting subsequent development of new AF. For each identified ECG predictor, we then identify absolute event rates and pooled risk ratios (RR) using an aggregate level random effects meta-analysis.

resultsWe identified 609,496 patients from 22 studies. ECG patterns included P wave terminal force V1 (PTFV1), interatrial block (IAB) and advanced interatrial block (aIAB), abnormal P wave axis (aPWA), PR prolongation and atrial premature complexes (APCs). Pooled risk ratios reached significance for each of these; PTFV1 RR 1.48 (95% CI 1.04-2.10), IAB 2.54 (95% CI 1.64-3.93), aIAB 4.05 (95% CI 2.64-6.22), aPWA 1.89 (95% CI 1.25-2.85), PR prolongation 2.22 (95% CI 1.27-3.87) and APCs 3.71 (95% CI 2.23-6.16). Diabetes reduced the predictive value of PR prolongation.

conclusionAPC and aIAB were most predictive of AF, while IAB, PR prolongation, PTFV1 and aPWA were also significantly associated with development of AF. These support their use in a screening tool to identify at risk cohorts who may benefit from further investigation, or following stroke, with empirical anticoagulation.

Indexed as

Atrial Premature ComplexesBrain IschemiaIschemic StrokeStrokeElectrocardiographyHumansInteratrial BlockProspective StudiesRetrospective Studiesatrial cardiopathyatrial fibrillationESUSpreventionStroke

Identifiers

PMID37641552
PMCPMC10472966
OpenAlexW4367845751

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.