Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37637716›Full record

ArticleGlobal epidemiology2023

What is an exposure-response curve?

Louis Anthony Cox

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global epidemiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Tobacco retailer density and rurality across four US states: California, Connecticut, North Carolina, and Ohio.The Journal of rural health : official journal of the American Rural Health Association and the National Rural Health Care Association · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Louis Anthony CoxCox Associates, Entanglement, University of Colorado, United States of America.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Exposure-response curves are among the most widely used tools of quantitative health risk assessment. However, we propose that exactly what they mean is usually left ambiguous, making it impossible to answer such fundamental questions as whether and by how much reducing exposure by a stated amount would change average population risks and distributions of individual risks. Recent concepts and computational methods from causal artificial intelligence (CAI) and machine learning (ML) can be applied to clarify what an exposure-response curve means; what other variables are held fixed (and at what levels) in estimating it; and how much inter-individual variability there is around population average exposure-response curves. These advances in conceptual clarity and practical computational methods not only enable epidemiologists and risk analysis practitioners to better quantify population and individual exposure-response curves but also challenge them to specify exactly what exposure-response relationships they seek to quantify and communicate to risk managers and how to use the resulting information to improve risk management decisions.

Indexed as

Accumulated local effects (ALE) plotCausal artificial intelligence (CAI)Exposure-response curveIndividual conditional expectation (ICE) plotPartial dependence plot (PDP)

Identifiers

PMID37637716
PMCPMC10445976

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.