Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37615073›Full record

ArticlePediatrics2023

Developmental Trajectories of Autism.

Christine Fountain, Alix S Winter, Keely Cheslack-Postava, Peter S Bearman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pediatrics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Autism care: reimagining the spectrum.Frontiers in child and adolescent psychiatry · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Expanding Research on Contextual Factors in Autism Research: What Took Us So Long?Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research · 2025
    Article
  12. Social competence in autism: A structural equation modeling approach.Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Christine FountainDepartment of Sociology and Anthropology, Fordham University, New York, New York.
Alix S WinterInterdisciplinary Center for Innovative Theory and Empirics, Columbia University, New York, New York.
Keely Cheslack-PostavaNew York State Psychiatric Institute, Columbia University, New York, New York.
Peter S BearmanInterdisciplinary Center for Innovative Theory and Empirics, Columbia University, New York, New York.

Funding

Assisted Reproductive Technologies and Risk of Autism and Other Developmental DisabilitiesR01HD091205 · NICHD · COLUMBIA UNIV NEW YORK MORNINGSIDE · PI BEARMAN, PETER SHAWN, FOUNTAIN, CHRISTINE · 2018 to 2020
$1.5M
NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD091205
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe goal of this study was to describe the typical, longitudinal, developmental trajectories of communication and social functioning in individuals with autism spectrum disorder from childhood through adulthood and to determine the correlates of these trajectories.

methodsChildren with autism spectrum disorder who were born in California from 1992 through 2016 and enrolled with the California Department of Developmental Services were identified. Subjects with <4 evaluations in the database were excluded, resulting in a sample of 71 285 individuals. Score sequences were constructed based on evaluative items for communication and social functioning. Typical trajectories were identified using group-based latent trajectory modeling, and logistic regression was used to determine the odds of classification into a social adolescent decline trajectory by individual-, family-, and zip code-level factors.

resultsSix typical patterns of communication functioning and 7 typical patterns of social functioning were identified. Whereas the majority of autistic individuals exhibit improved communication functioning as they age, the majority of individuals exhibit steady social functioning. A small group of individuals (5.0%) exhibits high social functioning in childhood that declines in adolescence. Membership in this adolescent decline group is associated with maternal non-Hispanic white race and ethnicity, female sex, moderate levels of maternal education, lower zip code-level median home values and population density, and higher zip code-level inequality.

conclusionsMost autistic individuals show improved communication and social functioning as they age, but not all do. Trajectory group membership is correlated with socioeconomic status. Future research should investigate what drives these correlations.

Indexed as

Autism Spectrum DisorderAutistic DisorderAdolescentChildCommunicationDatabases, FactualEducational StatusFemaleHumans

Identifiers

PMID37615073
PMCPMC10551845

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.