Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37614798›Full record

ArticleCritical care explorations2023

Frequency and Trends of Pre-Pandemic Surge Periods in U.S. Emergency Departments, 2006-2019.

George L Anesi, Ruiying Aria Xiong, M Kit Delgado

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Critical care explorations, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Quality improvement in the era of boarding and burnout: A postpandemic blueprint.Journal of the American College of Emergency Physicians open · 2024
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Does initiating care in alternate care sites decrease time to disposition in the emergency department?Journal of the American College of Emergency Physicians open · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

George L AnesiDivision of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA.
Ruiying Aria XiongPenn Medicine Center for Health Care Innovation, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA.
M Kit DelgadoPenn Medicine Center for Health Care Innovation, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA.

Funding

Hospital adaptation and resiliency for infected and uninfected patients during respiratory viral surge events: from seasonal influenza to COVID-19K23HL161353 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI George L Anesi · 2022 to 2026
$837k
NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL161353
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo quantify the frequency, outside of the pandemic setting, with which individual healthcare facilities faced surge periods due to severe increases in demand for emergency department (ED) care.

designRetrospective cohort study.

settingU.S. EDs. PATIENTS: All ED encounters in the all-payer, nationally representative Nationwide Emergency Department Sample from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project, 2006-2019.

interventionsNone. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN

resultsFrequency of surge periods defined as ED months in which an individual facility ED saw a greater than 50% increase in ED visits per month above facility-/calendar month-specific medians. During 2006-2019, 3,317 U.S. EDs reported 354,534,229 ED visits across 142,035 ED months. Fifty-seven thousand four hundred ninety-five ED months (40.5%) during the study period had a 0% to 50% increase in ED visits that month above facility-specific medians and 1,952 ED months (1.4%) qualified as surge periods and had a greater than 50% increase in ED visits that month above facility-specific medians. These surge months were experienced by 397 unique facility EDs (12.0%). Compared with 2006, the most proximal pre-pandemic period of 2016-2019 had a notably elevated likelihood of ED-month surge periods (odds ratios [ORs], 2.36-2.84; all

conclusionsUnderstanding the frequency of surges in demand for ED care-which appear to have increased in frequency even before the COVID-19 pandemic and are concentrated in winter months-is necessary to better understand the burden of potential and realized acute surge events and to inform cost-effectiveness preparedness strategies.

Indexed as

capacity straindisasteremergency departmentspreparednesssurge event

Identifiers

PMID37614798
PMCPMC10443743

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.