Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37609981›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2023

Carotid Plaque Score for Stroke and Cardiovascular Risk Prediction in a Middle-Aged Cohort From the General Population.

Håkon Ihle-Hansen, Thea Vigen, Trygve Berge, Marte M Walle-Hansen, Guri Hagberg, Hege Ihle-Hansen, Bente Thommessen, Inger Ariansen, Helge Røsjø, Ole Morten Rønning and 2 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT01555411 (Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study - a Cohort Study on Cardio- and Cerebrovascular Disease in 62-65-year-old Subjects), which is not on this map. Cited by 55 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
55citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
17.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01555411 active not recruitingnot on this map

Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study - a Cohort Study on Cardio- and Cerebrovascular Disease in 62-65-year-old Subjects

TypeobservationalSponsorVestre Viken Hospital TrustRan2012 to 2050Enrolled3,706ConditionsAtrial Fibrillation, Heart Failure, Mild Cognitive Impairment, Cardiovascular Diseases
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

55 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 69 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Application of the Carotid Plaque-RADS Classification System in Ultrasound: Inter- and Intra-Observer Agreement Analysis and Learning Curve Analysis.Journal of ultrasound in medicine : official journal of the American Institute of Ultrasound in Medicine · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Håkon Ihle-HansenDepartment of Medical Research Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust Gjettum Norway.ORCID 0000-0001-7111-5970
Thea VigenDivision of Medicine, Department of Neurology Akershus University Hospital Lørenskog Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-8263-3965
Trygve BergeDepartment of Medical Research Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust Gjettum Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-7681-8621
Marte M Walle-HansenDepartment of Medical Research Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust Gjettum Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-7695-2134
Guri HagbergDepartment of Medical Research Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust Gjettum Norway.ORCID 0000-0003-2822-7701
Hege Ihle-HansenDepartment of Medical Research Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust Gjettum Norway.ORCID 0000-0001-6298-9799
Bente ThommessenDivision of Medicine, Department of Neurology Akershus University Hospital Lørenskog Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-8665-1108
Inger AriansenDepartment of Chronic Diseases Norwegian Institute of Public Health Oslo Norway.ORCID 0000-0001-8529-4826
Helge RøsjøK.G. Jebsen Center for Cardiac Biomarkers, Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine University of Oslo Oslo Norway.
Ole Morten RønningDivision of Medicine, Department of Neurology Akershus University Hospital Lørenskog Norway.ORCID 0000-0001-5080-5788
Arnljot TveitDepartment of Medical Research Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust Gjettum Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-7223-5138
Magnus LyngbakkenK.G. Jebsen Center for Cardiac Biomarkers, Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine University of Oslo Oslo Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-5994-9304
University of Oslo · NOOslo University Hospital · NOAkershus University Hospital · NOVestre Viken Hospital Trust · NONorwegian Institute of Public Health · NO

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background We aimed to explore the predictive value of the carotid plaque score, compared with the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation 2 (SCORE2) risk prediction algorithm, on incident ischemic stroke and major adverse cardiovascular events and establish a prognostic cutoff of the carotid plaque score. Methods and Results In the prospective ACE 1950 (Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 study), carotid plaque score was calculated with ultrasonography at inclusion in 2012 to 2015. The largest plaque diameter in each extracranial segment of the carotid artery on both sides was scored from 0 to 3 points. The sum of points in all segments provided the carotid plaque score. The cohort was followed up by linkage to national registries for incident ischemic stroke and major adverse cardiovascular events (nonfatal ischemic stroke, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death) throughout 2020. Carotid plaque score was available in 3650 (98.5%) participants, with mean±SD age of 63.9±0.64 years at inclusion. Only 462 (12.7%) participants were free of plaque, and and 970 (26.6%) had a carotid plaque score of >3. Carotid plaque score predicted ischemic stroke (hazard ratio [HR], 1.25 [95% CI, 1.15-1.36]) and major adverse cardiovascular events (HR, 1.21 [95% CI, 1.14-1.27]) after adjustment for SCORE2 and provided strong incremental prognostic information to SCORE2. The best cutoff value of carotid plaque score for ischemic stroke was >3, with positive predictive value of 2.5% and negative predictive value of 99.3%. Conclusions The carotid plaque score is a strong predictor of ischemic stroke and major adverse cardiovascular events, and it provides incremental prognostic information to SCORE2 for risk prediction. A cutoff score of >3 seems to be suitable to discriminate high-risk subjects. Registration Information clinicaltrials.gov. Identifier: NCT01555411.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesIschemic StrokeStrokeCarotid Artery, CommonHeart Disease Risk FactorsHumansMiddle AgedPlaque, AmyloidProspective StudiesRisk Factorsatherosclerosiscardiovascular diseasecarotid plaquepredictionstrokeultrasonography

Identifiers

PMID37609981
PMCPMC10547315
OpenAlexW4386084690

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.