Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37589660›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental health perspectives2023

Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment of Contracting COVID-19 Derived from Measured and Simulated Aerosol Particle Transmission in Aircraft Cabins.

Jack F Schijven, Theo van Veen, Christiaan Delmaar, Johan Kos, Lucie Vermeulen, Rui Roosien, Frank Verhoeven, Maarten Schipper, Bram Peerlings, Erwin Duizer and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental health perspectives, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Research gaps and priorities for quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA).Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Jack F SchijvenCentre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-9327-1584
Theo van VeenRoyal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Christiaan DelmaarCentre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Johan KosRoyal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Lucie VermeulenCentre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Rui RoosienRoyal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Frank VerhoevenMedspray, Enschede, the Netherlands.
Maarten SchipperCentre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Bram PeerlingsRoyal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Erwin DuizerCentre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Jonathan DereiRoyal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Wim LammenRoyal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Onno BartelsRoyal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Harmen van der VenRoyal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Robert MaasRoyal Netherlands Aerospace Centre, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Ana Maria de Roda HusmanCentre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSARS-CoV-2 can be effectively transmitted between individuals located in close proximity to each other for extended durations. Aircraft provide such conditions. Although high attack rates during flights were reported, little was known about the risk levels of aerosol transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in aircraft cabins.

objectivesThe major objective was to estimate the risk of contracting COVID-19 from transmission of aerosol particles in aircraft cabins.

methodsIn two single-aisle and one twin-aisle aircraft, dispersion of generated aerosol particles over a seven-row economy class cabin section was measured under cruise and taxi conditions and simulated with a computational fluid dynamic model under cruise conditions. Using the aerosol particle dispersion data, a quantitative microbial risk assessment was conducted for scenarios with an asymptomatic infectious person expelling aerosol particles by breathing and speaking. Effects of flight conditions were evaluated using generalized additive mixed models.

resultsAerosol particle concentration decreased with increasing distance from the infectious person, and this decrease varied with direction. On a typical flight with an average shedder, estimated mean risk of contracting COVID-19 ranged from DISCUSSION: Our findings indicate that the risk of contracting COVID-19 by aerosol transmission in an aircraft cabin is low, but it will not be zero. Testing before boarding may help reduce the chance of a (super)shedder boarding an aircraft and mask use further reduces aerosol transmission in the aircraft cabin. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP11495.

Indexed as

COVID-19AircraftHumansRespiratory Aerosols and DropletsRisk AssessmentSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID37589660
PMCPMC10434022

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.