Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37589197›Full record

SynthesisCirculation. Arrhythmia and electrophysiology2023

Temporal Trends and Lesion Sets for Persistent Atrial Fibrillation Ablation: A Meta-Analysis With Trial Sequential Analysis and Meta-Regression.

Arunashis Sau, Sharan Kapadia, Sayed Al-Aidarous, James Howard, Afzal Sohaib, Markus B Sikkel, Ahran Arnold, Jonathan W Waks, Daniel B Kramer, Nicholas S Peters and 1 more

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Circulation. Arrhythmia and electrophysiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Durable effectiveness and safety of hybrid ablation versus catheter ablation: 2-year results from the randomized CEASE-AF trial†.European journal of cardio-thoracic surgery : official journal of the European Association for Cardio-thoracic Surgery · 2025
    Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Outcomes after redo ablation for the recurrence of atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2025
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Impact of atrial fibrillation diagnosis-to-ablation time on 24-month efficacy and safety outcomes in the Cryo Global Registry.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2025
    Observational
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. 2024 European Heart Rhythm Association/Heart Rhythm Society/Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society/Latin American Heart Rhythm Society expert consensus statement on catheter and surgical ablation of atrial fibrillation.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2024
    Article
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Arunashis Sau *National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, United Kingdom (A. Sau, S.K., J.H., M.B.S., A.A., D.B.K., N.S.P., F.S.N.).ORCID 0000-0002-0204-7078
Sharan Kapadia *National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, United Kingdom (A. Sau, S.K., J.H., M.B.S., A.A., D.B.K., N.S.P., F.S.N.).ORCID 0000-0003-2664-2549
Sayed Al-AidarousUCL Institute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, United Kingdom (S.A.-A.).
James HowardNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, United Kingdom (A. Sau, S.K., J.H., M.B.S., A.A., D.B.K., N.S.P., F.S.N.).ORCID 0000-0002-9989-6331
Afzal SohaibThe Barts Heart Centre, St Bartholomew's Hospital, Barts Health NHS Trust, London, United Kingdom (A. Sohaib).
Markus B SikkelNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, United Kingdom (A. Sau, S.K., J.H., M.B.S., A.A., D.B.K., N.S.P., F.S.N.).
Ahran ArnoldNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, United Kingdom (A. Sau, S.K., J.H., M.B.S., A.A., D.B.K., N.S.P., F.S.N.).ORCID 0000-0002-7597-0170
Jonathan W WaksHarvard-Thorndike Electrophysiology Institute, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (J.W.W.).
Daniel B KramerNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, United Kingdom (A. Sau, S.K., J.H., M.B.S., A.A., D.B.K., N.S.P., F.S.N.).ORCID 0000-0003-4241-3586
Nicholas S PetersNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, United Kingdom (A. Sau, S.K., J.H., M.B.S., A.A., D.B.K., N.S.P., F.S.N.).ORCID 0000-0002-3581-8078
Fu Siong NgNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, United Kingdom (A. Sau, S.K., J.H., M.B.S., A.A., D.B.K., N.S.P., F.S.N.).ORCID 0000-0002-8681-4368

Funding

British Heart Foundation FS/CRTF/21/24183British Heart Foundation FS/ICRF/22/26039British Heart Foundation RE/18/4/34215British Heart Foundation RG/F/22/110078Department of Health ACF-2019-21-001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAblation for persistent atrial fibrillation (PsAF) has been performed for over 20 years, although success rates have remained modest. Several adjunctive lesion sets have been studied but none have become standard of practice. We sought to describe how the efficacy of ablation for PsAF has evolved in this time period with a focus on the effect of adjunctive ablation strategies.

methodsDatabases were searched for prospective studies of PsAF ablation. We performed meta-regression and trial sequential analysis.

resultsA total of 99 studies (15 424 patients) were included. Ablation for PsAF achieved the primary outcome (freedom of atrial fibrillation/atrial tachycardia rate at 12 months follow-up) in 48.2% (5% CI, 44.0-52.3). Meta-regression showed freedom from atrial arrhythmia at 12 months has improved over time, while procedure time and fluoroscopy time have significantly reduced. Through the use of cumulative meta-analyses and trial sequential analysis, we show that some ablation strategies may initially seem promising, but after several randomized controlled trials may be found to be ineffective. Trial sequential analysis showed that complex fractionated atrial electrogram ablation is ineffective and further study of this treatment would be futile, while posterior wall isolation currently does not have sufficient evidence for routine use in PsAF ablation.

conclusionsOverall success rates from PsAF ablation and procedure/fluoroscopy times have improved over time. However, no adjunctive lesion set, in addition to pulmonary vein isolation, has been conclusively demonstrated to be beneficial. Through the use of trial sequential analysis, we highlight the importance of adequately powered randomized controlled trials, to avoid reaching premature conclusions, before widespread adoption of novel therapies.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationCatheter AblationDatabases, FactualFluoroscopyHumansProspective Studiesatrial fibrillationmeta-analysisrandomized controlled trials

Identifiers

PMID37589197
PMCPMC10510845

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.