Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37588752›Full record

ArticleIISE transactions on healthcare systems engineering2023

Predicting Colorectal Surgery Readmission Risk: a Surgery-Specific Predictive Model.

Thomas Clark Howell, Stephanie Lumpkin, Nicole Chaumont

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in IISE transactions on healthcare systems engineering, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Ambulatory Surgery Ensemble: Predicting Adult and Pediatric Same-Day Surgery Cases Across Specialties.Annals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches · 2025
    Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Thomas Clark HowellDepartment of Surgery, Duke University, Durham, NC.
Stephanie LumpkinDepartment of Surgery, Duke University, Durham, NC.
Nicole ChaumontDepartment of Surgery, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, NC.

Funding

Women's Cancer Research ProgramP30CA014236 · NCI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI DONNA NIEDZWIECKI · 1985 to 2026
$174.8M
Exploring the utilization of post-discharge care in colorectal surgery patientsF32HS026363 · AHRQ · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI LUMPKIN, STEPHANIE TREFFERT · 2018 to 2019
$147k
AHRQ HHS F32 HS026363NCI NIH HHS P30 CA014236
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Most current predictive models for risk of readmission were primarily designed from non-surgical patients and often utilize administrative data alone. Models built upon comprehensive data sources specific to colorectal surgery may be key to implementing interventions aimed at reducing readmissions. This study aimed to develop a predictive model for risk of 30-day readmission specific to colorectal surgery patients including administrative, clinical, laboratory, and socioeconomic status (SES) data. Patients admitted to the colorectal surgery service who underwent surgery and were discharged from an academic tertiary hospital between 2017 and 2019 were included. A total of 1549 patients met eligibility criteria for this retrospective split-sample cohort study. The 30-day readmission rate of the cohort was 19.62%. A multivariable logistic regression was developed (C=0.70, 95% CI 0.61-0.73), which outperformed two internationally used readmission risk prediction indices (C=0.58, 95% CI 0.52-0.65) and (C=0.60, 95% CI 0.53-0.66). Tailored surgery-specific readmission models with comprehensive data sources outperform the most used readmission indices in predicting 30-day readmission in colorectal surgery patients. Model performance is improved by using more comprehensive datasets that include administrative and socioeconomic details about a patient, as well as clinical information used for decision-making around the time of discharge.

Indexed as

clinical decision makingcolorectal surgerylogistic regressionreadmission risk

Identifiers

PMID37588752
PMCPMC10426736

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.